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Saturday, January 5, 2008
posted by Anne | 11:39 PM | permalink
Excerpt from my debate wrap-up:
McCain made his national security leadership pitch well, though he was kind of dogged about it. I suppose they are all tired. He got some sniping against Mitt flipping positions, but I have to say McCain has changed positions as well after some thought. Immigration being one, the Bush tax cut being another. And I would certainly welcome it, as would most Republicans if he admitted campaign finance "reform" was a mistake.

So who knows? I don't know if Mitt did well enough to overtake McCain, but independents going for Obama may do the trick. Apparently they are 44% of NH voters.
Full post at BackyardConservative, including the Dems' debate.
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This site has the replay of the moment Mr. Huckabee tries to bend Mitt's words regarding US troop withdrawl "timetable".

http://ktracy.com/?p=755

I recall Mr. Romney being asked about a timetable! Up to the time he was asked about a timetable, he was against the liberal timetable issue. Numerous democrats were calling for a timetable and it was a liberal "cowardly issue" in the context of two other items. 1) The democrats wanted to get out of Iraq asap because they felt they did not want the war on their hands if they were in control of the WH (and congress too). 2) The democrat mantra that the surge wasn't working during that period was popular by a lot of Americans via polls. The democrats were trying to get a public consensus on the issue as just another strategy of pressure on the president. Another political ploy for their purposes. Yet republicans were ticked at this ploy because it emboldend Al Qaida and the insurgents in Iraq.This placed our soldiers and the supportive Iraqi people in greater danger.

The very smart guy that Romney is considered a DIFFERENT KIND OF TIMETABLE. Romney, like other republicans who stated that 1)we didn't want our enemies to know our plans openly, giving them a strategic advantage. 2) If an ABSOLUTE date for withdrawl came, our leaving would be seen as a surrender. This would be demoralizing to the Iraqi people and embolden the insurgents at the time of our leaving. We'd be leaving them in an irresponsible and deadly situation.

There was also debate in congress about whether the Iraqi leaders were doing enough to carry their responsibility in eventually being able to take full control out of the hands of US military. Now, you have to understand that Mr. Romney is a high powered businessman with deadlines (like timetables) and goals for the successful accomplishment of objectives.

(By the way, Romney has averaged 113% return on investment each and every year that he lead Bain Capital--14 years straight! How'd you like a legend [in his industry] like that managing your investment?)

As such, he is stating that a hidden goal or timetable may be appropriate for the Iraqi leadership (to obviously be better at meeting their and US's objectives more responsibly!) Romney's comments were the only ones of its kind-NOBODY challanged that wisdom-nobody. At that time with deadline pressure being discussed, the Iraqi leaders and people were stressing out about this kind of talk in our US politics. Nobody had said anything like that to defuse the tension, but ROMNEY. Listen to the video again. The questioner asked about timetables on US troop withdrawl, Romney talked about "timetables and milestones" for the president and prime minister of Iraq associated with their duties and responsibilities.

As such, Mr. Romney did not refer to any US troop exiting timetable ever!!

It is amazing how deceitful people can be with the use of the passage of time and the context of the political climate as the specifics fade from our minds. Does anyone suppose that could also be the "tool" of those that would have you believe that Mr. Romney is a flip-Flopper"? Do some research, you'll find the facts have been explained by dozens of people. Yet the liberal media and others choose to manipulate the general public with the "tool" of "passage of time and context" (against our ability to recall) to people who really don't like to do their own due diligence of the facts.

Is there anybody else out there who can think of other manipulations? Send some in to this great site.
Examples:"Christian leader" insinuates (and you're not). "A religious test..." Article 6 US Constitution. Anyone who drops the line, "devil and Jesus are brothers" hoax are suggesting a very obvious failure to meet a religious test too.

An honest and exceedingly competent man would bring great dividends to our investment of study time for a POTUS and then, our vote. It's Mitt Romney--his life and stories are the metal great presidents are made of!!!




posted by Jeff Fuller | 10:10 PM | permalink


That was in 2002 of course . . . now McCain spends most of his limited advertising dollars on TV ads in NH that call Romney "a phony." Something's inconsistent there, eh?
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posted by Jeff Fuller | 10:08 PM | permalink
In tonight's debate Mike Huckabee accused Romney of not supporting the troop surge when he did: "I supported the president in the war before you did. I supported the surge when you didn't."



Transcript:

One Year Ago, Gov. Huckabee Did Not Offer His Support For The Surge:

MSNBC's NORAH O'DONNELL: "We have a Rudy Giuliani, who supports the president's plan on Iraq. We have Governor Mitt Romney, who also supports a troop surge. How are you different from any of those candidates."

HUCKABEE: "Well, I'm not sure that I support the troop surge, if that surge has to come from our Guard and Reserve troops, which have really been overly stretched."


Huck's a freakin LIAR. He proves it once again.

Want to revise that critique of Romney Gov. Huckabee?

This guy has no shame (but his fawning masses of evangelicals will give him a pass on this too, I'm sure).

Jeff Fuller
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Another example of "say anything to get elected" politics. What a sham.



I was unable to watch the debate tonight, so I must ask how Romney responded to Huckabee's claim on the surge?

If Romney did not have a counterpunch, I have to blame Romney for lack of preparation and response just as much as I blame Huckabee for his lie.

I am a diehard Romney supporter, but I am growing frustrated by his lack of firepower in response to the dirty attacks against his character and the lies about his record. He should not stand for such attacks, and when an opponent lies in a debate on a topic like the surge, where Romney can point to Huck's clear hesitation on the surge at the same time Romney issued a press release in favor of the surge, Romney needs to be prepared with the cold, hard facts, and he needs to unleash them.

If he did not do so tonight, the damage to his image in voters minds is his own fault. He seems like a deer in the headlights sometimes when hit with broadsides from his opponents. Either that or way, way too restrained.



Freakin' LIAR is right. Glad he kept his yappa shut a large portion of tonight's debate so I could relax a little. When he's not singin' Kumbaya, he might well be-a-prevaricantin'. This is a rude post so I'll go anonymous.



It's nice to see Huckabee would be unwilling to use our reserve forces at wartime when it makes the difference between winning and losing.




posted by Jon | 8:58 PM | permalink
As I surveyed the campaign coverage of post-Iowa, mid-Wyoming, and pre-New Hampshire I found pretty much a mixed bag. Nobody really knows what’s going to happen, but everyone’s willing to hazard a guess.

Then I happened upon Michael Medved’s latest Townhall column and I started to get just a little miffed. I don’t really have an opinion on Medved – I’ve never really listened to his show, I don’t read his stuff and my only exposure to him has been via Blogfather Hugh’s radio show. Medved has now come out as a McCain backer, but his latest diatribe will most likely find its way to Team Huck for distribution.

Medved would have you believe there is no anti-Mormon bigotry behind Huck’s success in Iowa and in other evangelical heavy states. I’m not going to take Medved’s data apart here, simply because its not necessary to prove my point. I’d simply like to pose a question which turn’s Medved’s logic on it’s head:

But for religion, where would the race stand today?

But for religion, Mike Huckabee would be lagging back in single digit polling no matter what state he ran in. He’d be rightly labeled as a populist tax and spend governor of a state that – were it not for its alphabetical ranking – most Americans would never have heard about. His attitude toward and record on crime – demonstrated by his seemingly endless string of pardons – would subject him to an endless barrage of questions and commentary which would subsequently consign his campaign to the Dukakis Memorial Dust Bin. His Carter-esque foreign policy ideas would lead most responsible Republicans to run screaming from the room – to say nothing of his economic ideals which appeal to the masses but portend fiscal danger and disaster should they ever actually be implemented.

So what, pray tell, is Huck’s appeal? He plays the religion card and manages to convince some Iowans that he’s one of them. He brands himself as the “Christian Leader” thereby calling into question the religiosity of every other candidate – a not-at-all veiled jab at Mitt Romney. He then takes an even less-veiled broadside at Mitt specifically and Mormonism in general with his throwaway line to the New York Times Magazine specifically designed to put religious and not political differences on the front page – again.

While Huck may have apologized for that insult, and Mitt may have accepted said apology, the intent was clear. No, I don’t buy Huck’s explanation and I don’t accept his apology. After so many years at the pulpit, Huck knew exactly what he was saying and the publicity and religious furor it would generate. Huck’s “apology” is a bout as valid as Typhoid Mary’s would have been weeks after she came to town.

In short, but for religion, Huck would already be an also-ran.

On the other side of the spectrum you find Mitt Romney. Here is an exceptionally accomplished man – by any yardstick you choose to measure him. He has succeeded at nearly everything he’s ever even thought of attempting – be it professional, personal, or political. When the chips were down and conventional wisdom said it couldn’t be done, somebody called Mitt and the impossible got done.

Mitt has made over a quarter-billion dollars for himself, and untold billions for others in the private sector. Unlike any other candidate, he has created and saved untold millions of jobs for Americans. He enjoys new challenges, so he took it upon himself to save the 2002 Olympics and then serve his state. Having given Uncle Ted the race of his life and not being stymied by defeat he took a shot at the Governor’s chair and turned a state around. Most people would think Mitt had done enough and deserved a well earned early retirement.

In any other universe, Mitt would be so far beyond any other candidate – Democrat or Republican – this race would all but be over. He personifies the all American family man – married to the same woman for nearly four decades with five strapping sons all successful on their own merits. Norman Rockwell couldn’t have painted a better picture of a presidential candidate.

And yes, in case you were wondering, my picture does include all Mitt’s rightward shifts on the issues he takes hammers on. It wouldn’t matter – and in reality it doesn’t matter.

But for religion, Mitt would all but be sworn in. Were he Baptist, Presbyterian, Unitarian, Catholic, or Methodist the only questions in this campaign would be aimed at policy. But Mitt is Mormon, and evidently that changes the rules set down by over 200 years of American political tradition.

Were there no Mormon Question, the media might have to focus on issues that really matter rather than the actual location of the Garden of Eden or the actions of Mitt’s long dead relatives. They might actually have to work for a decent newsworthy story.

No matter what Mr. Medved claims, there is an undercurrent of religious bigotry which has and will continue to dog the Romney campaign. Bear in mind with the exception of the occasional reference to “faith”, Mitt has been fairly neutral on the subject of religion. He’s gone to great lengths to avoid bringing religion into a race for a secular office. Never the less, Mitt’s opponents and their surrogates seem to revel in reverting to religion at every opportunity.

What proof do I have of this undercurrent? I won’t bother pointing you to the surrogate blogs filled with a never ending diatribe of combined anti-Mitt and anti-Mormonism. I’ll just point you to Mike Huckabee’s officially sanctioned blog. What you’ll find there is just one example of many I could point you in what is fast becoming little more than a cesspool of anti-Morminism. Spare me the “Huck isn’t responsible for comments” excuse. It’s got his name on it, he’s responsible for it.

I’m not going so far as to blame all the woes of Team Mitt on religious bigotry – I’m not quite that naïve. What I am saying is that Mitt has one hurdle the other candidates are free to bypass – and it makes this campaign race much like Mitt having to run100 yard dash in knee-deep water while his opponents sprint down the track.

Even with that obstacle, Mitt is still running neck and neck with them.

That says more about Mitt that I ever could.

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4 Comments:


Whew! You got a lot off your chest on that blog. I wish I could have said it so well.

Medved was pro-amnesty. I think, whether he admits it or not, he is not favorable toward Gov. Romney's tough stance on immigration.



Great analysis and spot-on!



On the other hand, if Romney weren't LDS, he might be on his second or third wife by now like many of the other candidates.



I have been on top of this this issue TrustMitt.org

Shazam, Iowa results are proof positive that inbreeding and frigid temperatures yield irrational decisions. Despite Huckabee’s liberal record, Gomer Pyle charisma, and hate mongering against Mormonism, Huckabee pulls out a victory. Since Huck has no chance of beating Obama in a national election, the people have spoken and they would rather tear The Republican Party up then vote for a viable candidate. Thanks Iowa for splitting the party between social and economic conservatives, leaving us with McCain (who has no money to run a campaign) right before one of the most difficult presidential elections in recent history. If Mitt loses in New Hampshire and Michigan due to the blow in Iowa I will be obligated to vote for Obama in retaliation for Iowa's bigotry. TrustMitt.org




posted by Jeff Fuller | 4:44 PM | permalink
So "The Economy" constantly ranks up there among the top issues/concerns among voters of BOTH parties. With the Iraq issue being far less polarizing of late, the Economy, Illegal Immigration, and Healthcare look to be the key issues for the general election. Additionally, this New Hampshire Fox News Poll last month had the Economy and Illegal Immigration as the two most important issues to GOP voters with the Economy being by far the most important issue.

Additionally, unlike many issues listed, the status of the economy is something that touches EVERY American in some real and powerful way (as opposed to Iraq, or abortion, or foreign policy, or those without healthcare insurance).

In the financial world, the news of an imminent recession has been dominating the headlines (including the sinking strength on Wall Street). Just yesterday, Bush met with the economic advisors and the Fed Chairman to discuss these issues. The press conference afterwards was not terribly positive.

So is a McCain presidency a good fit for a good economy? Back in 2003 many didn't think so. His new economic plan isn't impressing many. And let's not forget what the Club for Growth thinks about McCain's economic record (Their main points are that "John McCain is No Supply-Sider" and that he has a "Tenuous Record as an Economic Conservative")

Those are the words of others . . . but what does McCain think of himself in relation to the ecomony?

Just one month ago, a piece from the Boston Globe (who has since endorsed McCain) led off with this:

SALEM, N.H. -- John McCain, who happily volunteers he doesn't know much about economics . . .

Later in the piece:
McCain stood before a line graph showing the increase of the alternative-minimum tax, a low-budget campaign's alternative to the PowerPoint presentation Mitt Romney uses when talking about economic policy, a subject McCain has said he feels he is unknowledgeable and that filling the void would be a priority when selecting a vice-presidential nominee.

So McCain wants to bolster the ticket because he's weak on the #1 issue and at a time that recession is a real concern? Sounds scary to me.

Yet further:
Like Mike Huckabee, who joked recently that he "may not be the expert that some people are on foreign policy, but I did stay in a Holiday Inn Express last night," McCain suggested to reporters Monday that American consumer culture offered a short cut to expertise. "The issue of economics is not something I've understood as well as I should," McCain said. "I've got Greenspan's book."


Sorry John, but if you haven't gotten a grasp of economic issues after 71 years of life, and after 3+ decades in politics, something tells me that you're not ever going to "get it" . . . even if Greenspan's book is really good.

If we really are headed toward recession in the next few months, do we really want John McCain as our nominee to put up against Hillary or Obama? I think we have much better options to have at the TOP of the ticket.

Jeff Fuller
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McCain better let us know who this super-d-duper VP is that he has in mind because they are going to have to be someone who will be great in the field of economics, someone with the essence of youth and viger on their side, and someone who will be ready to pick up the mantel of the presidency in four years. On the all of these things we might as well skip McCain and vote for the VP. Could he be talking about our guy? Sadly he is but he does not know it.



McCain is a bit of a hypocrite calling Romney out on his foreign policy statements but admits he's a slacker on the economy. The economy is emerging as the number one issue so this doesn't help McCain and should help Mitt. Mitt's biggest problem is the media waiting in the weeds to take a sigle statement and ambushing him on it.




posted by Kyle Hampton | 4:41 PM | permalink
From the AP:

CASPER, Wyo. — Mitt Romney’s attention to Wyoming paid off Saturday as he won most of the 12 presidential delegates at stake in the state’s Republican county conventions.

The former Massachusetts governor won six of the first eight to be selected Saturday. Fred Thompson and California Rep. Duncan Hunter, who both also visited Wyoming, won one apiece, meaning no other candidate could beat Romney.

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Gold!!! Gold!!! Gold!!!



This makes me feel a little better; provided Governor Romney takes first or second in NH, the whole Iowa thing will be well on its way to having no significance.



Make that 8! Romney leads Huckabee in the delegate count!

This should get Mitt some press coverage to help smooth the feathers after Iowa!

Wyoming has long been our most conservative state--if not, then at least in the top 3.

That Romney won is quite fitting!



I am happy for the win, but a little surprised. Having lived in that neck of the woods for a while, I am very aware of a large Evangelical and Born-Again population. Perhaps they didn't organize like they did in Iowa?




posted by Kyle Hampton | 2:42 PM | permalink
From the AP:

CASPER, Wyo. - Mitt Romney grabbed the early lead in Wyoming's Republican caucuses Saturday as the state had its brief moment in the political spotlight sandwiched between attention-getting contests in Iowa and New Hampshire.

The former Massachusetts governor gained the first four delegates while California Rep. Duncan Hunter won a fifth.

Romney easily led the overall vote with more than 50 percent. Hunter was second with 21 percent and Fred Thompson, who hadn't won any delegates, was third with 17 percent. Results were expected throughout the day.

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I am ecstatic that Duncan Hunter is in 2nd. If Mitt makes it, I hope he is VP candidate



Hey guys I thought I would let you know that there are live updates at

http://www.wygop.org/




posted by Myclob | 1:51 PM | permalink
A Top 10 List…
  1. Defending His Amnesty Bill, Sen. McCain Lost His Temper And "Screamed, 'F*ck You!' At Texas Sen. John Cornyn" (R-TX). "Presidential hopeful John McCain - who has been dogged for years by questions about his volcanic temper - erupted in an angry, profanity-laced tirade at a fellow Republican senator, sources told The Post yesterday. In a heated dispute over immigration-law overhaul, McCain screamed, 'F--- you!' at Texas Sen. John Cornyn, who had been raising concerns about the legislation. 'This is chickens---stuff,' McCain snapped at Cornyn, according to several people in the room off the Senate floor Thursday. 'You've always been against this bill, and you're just trying to derail it.'" (Charles Hurt, "Raising McCain," New York Post, 5/19/07)
  2. In 2000, Sen. McCain Ran An Attack Ad Comparing Then-Gov. George W. Bush To Bill Clinton. SEN. MCCAIN: "I guess it was bound to happen. Governor Bush's campaign is getting desperate, with a negative ad about me. The fact is, I'll use the surplus money to fix Social Security, cut your taxes and pay down the debt. Governor Bush uses all of the surplus for tax cuts, with not one new penny for Social Security or the debt. His ad twists the truth like Clinton. We're all pretty tired of that. As president, I'll be conservative and always tell you the truth. No matter what." (McCain 2000, Campaign Ad, 2/9/00; www.youtube.com/watch?v=UHoXkCprdL4)
  3. Sen. McCain Repeatedly Called Sen. Pete Domenici (R-NM) An "A**hole", Causing A Fellow GOP Senator To Say, "I Didn't Want This Guy Anywhere Near A Trigger." "Why can't McCain win the votes of his own colleagues? To explain, a Republican senator tells this story: at a GOP meeting last fall, McCain erupted out of the blue at the respected Budget Committee chairman, Pete Domenici, saying, 'Only an a--hole would put together a budget like this.' Offended, Domenici stood up and gave a dignified, restrained speech about how in all his years in the Senate, through many heated debates, no one had ever called him that. Another senator might have taken the moment to check his temper. But McCain went on: 'I wouldn't call you an a--hole unless you really were an a--hole.' The Republican senator witnessing the scene had considered supporting McCain for president, but changed his mind. 'I decided,' the senator told Newsweek, 'I didn't want this guy anywhere near a trigger.'" (Evan Thomas, et al., "Senator Hothead," Newsweek, 2/21/00)
  4. Sen. McCain Had A Heated Exchange With Sen. Charles Grassley (R-IA) And Called Him A "F*cking Jerk." "Senators are not used to having their intelligence or integrity challenged by another senator. 'Are you calling me stupid?' Sen. Chuck Grassley once inquired during a debate with McCain over the fate of the Vietnam MIAs, according to a source who was present. 'No,' replied McCain, 'I'm calling you a f---ing jerk!' (Grassley and McCain had no comment.)" (Evan Thomas, et al., "Senator Hothead," Newsweek, 2/21/00)
  5. In 1995, Sen. McCain Had A "Scuffle" With 92-Year-Old Sen. Strom Thurmond (R-SC) On The Senate Floor. "In January 1995, McCain was midway through an opening statement at a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing when chairman Strom Thurmond asked, 'Is the senator about through?' McCain glared at Thurmond, thanked him for his 'courtesy' (translation: buzz off), and continued on. McCain later confronted Thurmond on the Senate floor. A scuffle ensued, and the two didn't part friends." (Harry Jaffe, "Senator Hothead," The Washingtonian, 2/97)
  6. Sen. McCain Accused Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY) Of The "Most Egregious Incident" Of Corruption He Had Seen In The Senate. "It escalated when McCain reiterated the charges Oct. 10 in a cross-examination, calling McConnell's actions the 'most egregious incident' demonstrating the appearance of corruption he has ever seen in his Senate career." (Amy Keller, "Attacks Escalate In Depositions," Roll Call, 10/21/02)
  7. Sen. McCain Attacked Christian Leaders And Republicans In A Blistering Speech During The 2000 Campaign. MCCAIN: "Unfortunately, Governor Bush is a Pat Robertson Republican who will lose to Al Gore. … The political tactics of division and slander are not our values... They are corrupting influences on religion and politics, and those who practice them in the name of religion or in the name of the Republican Party or in the name of America shame our faith, our party and our country. Neither party should be defined by pandering to the outer reaches of American politics and the agents of intolerance, whether they be Louis Farrakhan or Al Sharpton on the left, or Pat Robertson or Jerry Falwell on the right." (Sen. John McCain, Remarks, Virginia Beach, VA, 2/28/00)
  8. Sen. McCain Attacked Vice President Cheney. MCCAIN: "The president listened too much to the Vice President . . . Of course, the president bears the ultimate responsibility, but he was very badly served by both the Vice President and, most of all, the Secretary of Defense." (Roger Simon, "McCain Bashes Cheney Over Iraq Policy," The Politico, 1/24/07)
  9. Celebrating His First Senate Election In 1986, Sen. McCain Screamed At And Harassed A Young Republican Volunteer. "It was election night 1986, and John McCain had just been elected to the U.S. Senate for the first time. Even so, he was not in a good mood. McCain was yelling at the top of his lungs and poking the chest of a young Republican volunteer who had set up a lectern that was too tall for the 5-foot-9 politician to be seen to advantage, according to a witness to the outburst. 'Here this poor guy is thinking he has done a good job, and he gets a new butt ripped because McCain didn't look good on television,' Jon Hinz told a reporter Thursday. At the time, Hinz was executive director of the Arizona Republican Party. … Hinz said McCain's treatment of the young campaign worker in 1986 troubled him for years. 'There were an awful lot of people in the room,' Hinz recalled. 'You'd have to stick cotton in your ears not to hear it. He (McCain) was screaming at him, and he was red in the face. It wasn't right, and I was very upset at him.'" (Kris Mayes and Charles Kelly, "Stories Surface On Senator's Demeanor," The Arizona Republic, 11/5/99)
  10. Sen. McCain "Publicly Abused" Senator Richard Shelby (R-AL). "[McCain] noted his propensity for passion but insisted that he doesn't 'insult anybody or fly off the handle or anything like that.' This is, quite simply, hogwash. McCain often insults people and flies off the handle…. There have been the many times McCain has called reporters 'liars' and 'idiots' when they have had the audacity to ask him unpleasant, but pertinent, questions. McCain once… publicly abused Sen. Richard Shelby of Alabama." (Editorial, "There's Something About McCain," The Austin American-Statesman, 1/24/07)
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I would love to see McCain just fly off into one of those rages during a debate. Do you think that could ever happen?



Wow!!! A hot head like McCain is JUST who we need to be in charge of all our nukes, and to be the leader of the free world. Yahoo!!!! A nutcase in the oval office!!!




posted by jason | 12:40 PM | permalink


This is a pic from Romney in New Hampshire, taken by Ray Brun (RayinNH) who comments at Race42008.com

Ray Brun is also featured in this video here:




Soren Dayton has good coverage of Romney in NH last night...
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There's just something glowing about the guy.




posted by jason | 12:36 PM | permalink
By Eric Dondero, crossposted from here with his permission.




In an interview with www.MainstreamLibertarian.com, New Hampshire State Rep. DJ Bettencourt just confirmed his endorsement of Mitt Romney for President. He had allowed his name to be placed on a List of NH Romney supporters two weeks ago. Now Bettencourt has fully backed up his previous name-listing with a full-fledged endorsement.

Rep. Bettencourt serves as Chairman of the New Hampshire Conservative Alliance, a group that includes strong Anti-Tax and libertarian-leaning Republicans. Bettencourt was strongly supported by the Republican Liberty Caucus, a libertarian group, in his election in 2006 to the Legislature.

Last summer Bettencourt was moderately supportive of John McCain for President. He had attended a couple McCain functions, and allowed the Campaign to list his name on McCain's Straight Talk Committee. He did caution them at the time that it did not constitute a full outright endorsement.

But McCain's pushing on immigration late last summer started to trouble him.

He also told ML that McCain's positions on economic issues such as taxes are less firm than Romney's, and that was part of the reason for his move away from McCain.

"For me, economic issues are most important. People have problems with Romney on social issues. They are of secondary importance to me personally. I think he is the only one with experience as a businessman and understands how it works," said Bettencourt.

Bettencourt also said that Romney was a "strong Fiscal Conservative," who was very good on tax issues. He mentioned his low tax record as Massachussetts Governor.

On the other candidates Bettencourt commented:

"No question Ron Paul serves my priorities on economics identically, but the problem is we need to get a candidate who has a chance to win."

On Giuliani, "Rudy is a guy whom economically we have agreement."

And on Huckabee, "He is not a friend of libertarian principles."

*Note - Representative Bettencourt will be a guest on a special edition of "Libertarian Politics Live" Pre-New Hampshire Primary, Monday night at 7:00 pm cst.
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posted by jason | 9:10 AM | permalink
I finally made it home from Iowa yesterday.

It was quite fun, until Romney lost, which really sucked. Like really sucked.

Being embedded was quite the thrill, for an amateur like myself. I went into it thinking the MSM reporters would all be jerks, but really they were all pretty cool, including Anna Marie Cox and the Reuters Reporter who I missed the press bus with at the first caucus I attended.

Iowa is an interesting state, and the caucuses are a tricky business. I am guessing that at the caucus I attended they expected maybe a couple hundred, judging by the tables and chairs they had set out. By the time I left there had to be 500 in the caucus room, maybe a hundred or two more waiting to get in, and scores leaving without ever having voted, fed up with the process. It was a zoo.

I thought Romney would win up until half way through my interview with Bob Bennett where his comments seemed to heavily suggest that he was expecting a second place finish. I am not sure weather he was receiving briefings, or not, but within 20 minutes of this interview the AP was reporting that entrance polls were showing Huckabee would run away with it.

Why a Huckabee Win

What happened in Iowa was a result of the cross. Not the cross that Jesus died on, but the cross that Drudge found in a campaign video. I think that Huck’s win can be attributed to his charisma, anti-Mormon sermons and emails, pastors telling them to vote for God, and the most from Drudge and his cross story. Really, it was a bad idea on Drudge’s part. In case he forgot, Christians like the cross. Huck’s army got their marching orders from Drudge.

The polling suggests this to be the case. If you subtract the abnormal 20% increase in Evangelicals (as show in entrance polls) from Huck’s numbers, the caucus would have resulted with Romney over Huckabee 31% to 13%. At the caucus I attended I spoke to a very positive Thompson worker. I asked him about Huckabee. He was Evangelical and he stated that nearly everyone at his church was voting for Huckabee. He almost did as well. If Huckabee was fueled by groups other than Evangelicals, then I think we would have seen his support more on the order of 40-50%. As a matter of fact, I don’t think I met a single reporter, activist or voter from any campaign who didn’t attribute Hucks’s strong showing to Evangelicals.

Romney and the Future

Romney has a couple options. Some more alluring then others. But he is injured. Romney needs to win NH or come in 2nd within a 5-7% margin to stay viable.

The polls seem to show Romney and McCain tied. Depending on the poll, either one of them could be found in first place. McCain has surged, and Romney has stayed at a core level of support. I am optimistic for a New Hampshire win for several reasons:


  1. Obama gave Mitt the best lifeline he could have asked for

  2. Fred gave him his second best life line

  3. The mere fact that 60% of independents favor Obama is trouble for McCain and the other fact that independents are anti-war is even more troubling

  4. Despite the local newspaper love fest for McCain, we have local radio’s taking him on.

  5. The National Journal was reporting on POTUS 08 that Rudy is starting to put money in again in New Hampshire in hopes of derailing McCain since a McCain win is now worse than a Romney win.

  6. New Hampshirians don’t care too much about Iowa results.

  7. We have two more debates between now and the New Hampshire Primary. It was the New Hampshire debate in 1979 that really knocked the wind out of George H.W. Bush



Should Romney win New Hampshire he would in fact win Michigan and Nevada and perhaps get a decent showing in South Carolina.

Now if Romney looses New Hampshire, but can stay within 5-7% of first place, he also has a reasonable chance, albeit, not so rosy. It would basically hinge on him keeping a strong delegate lead and hoping for a brokered convention. If Romney can win Wyoming, he will have the delegate lead. If he can get some of the delegates in New Hampshire he could still have enough legitimacy to fight in Michigan and perhaps win their or Nevada. At that point Romney would still have a strong organization in Florida. This plan should sound good for Rudy people, since it flies in the face of momentum.

Going into Feb 5th Romney would still have plenty of money and a strong organization and plenty of money for states like California, Arizona, Colorado, Illinois and others where he could continue to build delegates. From here he could still win.

Lastly if Romney suffers a George Bush blowout in New Hampshire, I think it’s tough argument to say it’s winnable, although at this point, I would say anything is possible.
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4 Comments:


After outspending Huckabee by an outrageous margin, your man Mitt found that the voters of Iowa, in the end, could not be bought. Nor could they be fooled by a man who oozes insincerity from every pore.
After all the wasted money, and after all the weeks of relentless Huckabee bashing by people like you, your man doesn’t simply get beaten, he gets hammered, crushed. It was like a fight between the schoolyard bully and a 98 pound weakling that ends with the bully suffering a hellacious beat down. Of course the flaw in that analogy is that it is really Romney who is the weakling—a moral weakling, that is. After 7 years of Bush, Americans are used to being lied to and taken for fools. But it seems that they can’t stomach smarmy insincerity; given that this is the stock in trade of the Romney candidacy, therein lies the problem for the plastic man from Massachusetts.
You Romney folks are right about at least one thing, however. Huckabee is indeed a flawed candidate; if nominated it’s hard for me to believe that he has a chance in hell of winning the general election. Most Americans are far too open minded for the over-the-top super-Christianity that seemed to play well with the self-styled moralists in Iowa. But in your frantic search for Huckabee’s flaws as a candidate, the thing that you folks continue to ignore is Romney’s obvious flaws as a human. The ethical and moral lapses, combined with his peculiar penchant for just plain lying, all the while portraying himself as the wholesome candidate of truth, justice and the American way…well in the end even the Republicans who continue to deny themselves the truth about the Bush Administration could not be fooled by Mitt.
So now it’s on to New Hampshire where Mitt is already backpedaling furiously in an attempt to lower expectations. What’s clear, however, is that if the people of New Hampshire see Romney as clearly as Iowans did, all your frantic attempts to discredit Huckabee and McCain will be fruitless. It’s about Mitt now; people don’t trust him, they don’t believe him, they don’t like him. No amount of Huckabee and McCain bashing by the frantic legions of Romney supporters will obscure these simple facts…Mitt’s moral and ethical dwarfism will, in the end, doom him. Evidence, it seems, that primary voters are not as stupid as you and Mitt take them for. The system works!

Have a nice day

Phil



After outspending Huckabee by an outrageous margin, your man Mitt found that the voters of Iowa, in the end, could not be bought. Nor could they be fooled by a man who oozes insincerity from every pore.
After all the wasted money, and after all the weeks of relentless Huckabee bashing by people like you, your man doesn’t simply get beaten, he gets hammered, crushed. It was like a fight between the schoolyard bully and a 98 pound weakling that ends with the bully suffering a hellacious beat down. Of course the flaw in that analogy is that it is really Romney who is the weakling—a moral weakling, that is. After 7 years of Bush, Americans are used to being lied to and taken for fools. But it seems that they can’t stomach smarmy insincerity; given that this is the stock in trade of the Romney candidacy, therein lies the problem for the plastic man from Massachusetts.
You Romney folks are right about at least one thing, however. Huckabee is indeed a flawed candidate; if nominated it’s hard for me to believe that he has a chance in hell of winning the general election. Most Americans are far too open minded for the over-the-top super-Christianity that seemed to play well with the self-styled moralists in Iowa. But in your frantic search for Huckabee’s flaws as a candidate, the thing that you folks continue to ignore is Romney’s obvious flaws as a human. The ethical and moral lapses, combined with his peculiar penchant for just plain lying, all the while portraying himself as the wholesome candidate of truth, justice and the American way…well in the end even the Republicans who continue to deny themselves the truth about the Bush Administration could not be fooled by Mitt.
So now it’s on to New Hampshire where Mitt is already backpedaling furiously in an attempt to lower expectations. What’s clear, however, is that if the people of New Hampshire see Romney as clearly as Iowans did, all your frantic attempts to discredit Huckabee and McCain will be fruitless. It’s about Mitt now; people don’t trust him, they don’t believe him, they don’t like him. No amount of Huckabee and McCain bashing by the frantic legions of Romney supporters will obscure these simple facts…Mitt’s moral and ethical dwarfism will, in the end, doom him. Evidence, it seems, that primary voters are not as stupid as you and Mitt take them for. The system works!

Have a nice day

Phil



The key demographics that threw in with Huckster in Iowa were:

1 - People with household incomes of less than 30K.

2 - Women who live in towns with a population of less than 10K.

I manage a facilities operation with roughly 65 employees, and the first statistic describes a lot of my housekeeping employees. Not in every case, but in a huge case a household income of less than 30K means no college education.

That brings it into better perspective. Things like the Chuck Norris endorsement making a difference, and the fact that Huckster never once responded with anything of substance to Romney's issue contrast ads. Hucksters campaign strategies make perfect sense when put into context of his target audience. Even the college educated evangelicals rejected Huckster's candidacy, but their vote was split between Romney, Thompson, and McCain. Educated evangelicals know exactly what Huckster was/is up to.

If you look at iowagop.com you'll see that Huckster won largely in communities in central Iowa away from population centers. In smaller towns it would be easier for a local church to get out the vote for their man than it would be in a larger city if only because there are less competing activities to do on any given Thursday night.

So basically we're seeing Huckster get the uneducated vote, and the small town church vote. (In places where few reporters are likely to hang out to watch for shenanigans.)

Does this remind anyone of classic democrat get out the vote efforts with inner city black churches?

Huckster also hasn't seen a very big fund raising bounce which seems to go hand in hand with getting votes from people with a household income of 30K or less.



I posted this comment over at NYforMitt in response to a video by a guy nicknamed "Yellow." I am copying it here:

Yellow, I totally agree with you. This was and is a religious war for Huckabee & his supporters: the fundamentalist evangelical Christians vs. the Mormons.

I used to be a religious-right, black and white sort of fundamentalist evangelical - like the ones that voted for Huckabee.

I graduated from a fundamentalist evangelical Bible College where Walter Martin came for one week to talk about his book, "Kingdom of the Cults." I used to think that Mormonism was a cult, and I think I know where they are coming from.

They see Huckabee as Christ’s candidate. He is the one that will save our nation from it’s wayward ways and sins and bring this nation back to Christ. Just like Huckabee preached. This is his promise to them.

Any — I mean - ANY attack against Huckabee is perceived by his followers as an attack against Christianity and Christians -- and just energizes them even more to support him.

Just read their posts and you will know what I mean. So the more Huckabee and his “cross” commercial were attacked, the more the ARMY of GOD banded together to vote for God’s man.

Nothing else mattered. Nothing.

It’s pretty scary, actually, that a group of people can be so blinded to all the other important issues in our country (illegal immigration, taxes, crime, national security) and vote for one man on basically one issue.

But if you think people can’t be fooled by a con man, just look at history.

Look at all the people that drank Jim Jone’s Koolaid. And even by saying that, I’m sure I am going to be perceived as persecuting Huckabee and his Army. They just don’t get it. They won’t get it.

They are rallied behind God! And God's David!

I don’t think the Iowan Evangelicals that voted for Romney are stupid, but I do think they “stupidized” themselves so they could justify voting for Huckabee.

When practically the whole conservative movement comes out against your guy, and there are hard facts about his incredibly liberal history of governing Arkansas and his incredibly poor ethics, you have to literally stick your fingers in your ears and shut your eyes and yell really loud, “I DON’T HEAR YOU!!!!!”

There are a lot of things that bother me about Huckabee (soft on crime, tax hiker, soft on illegal immigration, etc.), but the thing that really did it for me is that he is a chronic liar and he is unethical.

Where am I wrong on this??

P.S. By the way, I still consider myself to be a born-again Christian, but no longer a right-wing, hard-core fundamentalist. I also no longer believe that Mormonism is some dangerous cult anymore than Christianity is a dangerous cult.

Now, the Moonies, Jim Jones' church, David Koresh -- those are examples of dangerous cults.

But any group formed around a set of tenets/beliefs can technically be called a cult. It's just that Mike Huckabee is not only using class warfare, but religious warfare to promote himself.

And there is one thing I disagree with Yellow on - I do NOT think Mike Huckabee is a good man.

I think he is a devious, evil, self-serving man who will do or say anything to make money and promote himself.

He's the kind of man who gives real Christians a very bad name.

Like the bumper sticker said: "God, save me from your people!"




posted by Jeff Fuller | 1:28 AM | permalink
OK . . . so there are other factors too, but the Dow Jones dropped 2% today (257 pts) on the heels of two populist candidates winning the Iowa caucuses.

Coincidence?

I report . . . you decide.

Jeff Fuller
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The dismal employment numbers for the month of December, were not out of line from what economists were expecting. So you can't attribute the 250pt loss on the DOW on that.

Two populist candidates that have ranted against wall street won.... and how every American is 2% poorer for it. And this is just the beginning.....



The media has been trying to talk the country into a recession because they think it helps the Dems in Nov.The Dems don't even have to put a plan forward because a lot of people think they are simply good luck charms for the economy.People think if you end the war in Iraq that money will magically wind up in their pockets. It just shows the nanny statism that people are falling for and now even GOP voters are falling for it,thus some Huck enthusiasm.Rush is attempting to right the ship by pointing out populism isn't conservatism.Huck's trying to use the class warfare card In NH since he can't use his religious based zealotry there.Mitt has a broad based POSITIVE message that has him in the top of the polls every where.If the economy does emerge as the #1 issue it could help Mitt because of his business background. No one else in the race has this experience.



Has an McCain or Huck supporters thought about the fact that neither of these guys can raise enough money to compete with the Dems if they were to get the nom? I seriously doubt the establishment republicans will trow any serious dought their way. They whine about Mitt's deep pockets but we need someone with deep pockets to take them on. I wish Mitt would start dropping hints about neither one of them being able to raise money.



you funny




Friday, January 4, 2008
posted by Anonymous | 8:38 PM | permalink
As we approach the next several early contests, I want to re-explain just a few of the foundational reasons why Mitt Romney deserves to be the Republican nominee for President.

America is Facing Challenges Entirely New to our Generation. Mitt Romney is the Leader we need to Face these Challenges Successfully.

The next President will inherit a federal government staggering under the deficit and bloated with new entitlement programs. We can only expect that to increase with the Democrats now in Congress. Will we have a President who has proven ability to balance the budget? We know Mitt's track record.

The next President will need to act to protect local communities from the crime and other social harms created by illegal immigration. Will we have President who believes local law enforcement should have the tools to do their job ? We know Mitt supports protecting our communities.

The next President will need to deal with the continuing erosion of the traditional family or see the very foundations of our society undermined. Will we have a President who believes in marriage and wants to support it? We know we have a champion in Mitt.

The next President of the United States will take over a much different place than Bush inherited from Clinton. The next President will be our first post 9-11 President really. He will be the first one to shape our continuing response to the threats in the world from Kharijites (my term, not his). Will we have someone who believes in doing all we can to protect Americans from terrorists? We know where we stand with Mitt.

The next President will need to lead America to be more competitive in order that our businesses can compete within the world and maintain our quality of life. Will we have a President with extraordinary business acumen who has great insight the issues our country faces and will be able to construct innovative solutions? We know Mitt's abilities.

These are just a few of what I believe are the new generation of challenges we face. I am glad we have a candidate we can trust on these issues. I hope we will have a President who will do the same. If you want these same values in a President, vote for Mitt Romney America!
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3 Comments:


Great commentary, great analysis. And all true!!! One problem though... you're missing one thing....the people seem to be sheeple, and are only interested that their candidate have the same religious views.... that seems to be all they care about... Oh, and in NH, all they apparently care about is that their guy not be one-up on them financially.... "don't follow the money..." as McCain says. Sorry for the cynicism... I hope NH proves me completely dead wrong. I really do.



Unfortunately, what we don'd know is that Mitt is a conservative. I'm a fifth-generation Latter-day Saint, so I don't have a problem with his religious beliefs. However, I'm not yet convinced that Mitt's a true conservative, especially after reading in this morning's Rocky Mountain News that Bill Owens and Bruce Benson are part of his team in Colorado. Owens and Benson proved they weren't conservatives a couple of years ago when they supported a huge tax increase (Referenda C and D).



Mitt is definitely a conservative. His record as Governor of MA demonstrates that amply, whether it be social issues, fiscal, or security. In addition, Mitt has outlined a strong conservative direction for our country as he has ran for President. If he wins, expectations that he will get to work on the terrible deficit spending and national debt will be high. He obviously will support conservative judges. He will also be strong on terror. In fact, the great part about Mitt is that he will approach the war on terror methodically, demanding results, while directing the resources of the U.S. towards helping moderate Muslims withstand radicalism.

He's definitely a conservative. If you can call Amnesty McCain and Pardon me Huckabee conservative, then Romney is a total right-winger.




posted by Anonymous | 3:45 PM | permalink
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Thank goodness, it's about time Mitt hits back on this silly negative-ad charge. It's not enough that Romney's been explaining the difference between ads contrasting positions and ads calling your opponent a phony, he needs to reveal a hypocrite where there's a hypocrite. Strong, truthful, decisive.

One poll shows Romney regained the lead in NH. It was taken from the 1st to the 3rd so we don't know how much the Iowa caucus changes things, but hopefully a now viable Obama will steal some McCain supporters.



Yeah, and to think that McCain has a purely negative ad, not even a contrast ad, about Mitt supposedly saying a President can just call the State Department for foreign policy experience. That ad twists the truth blatantly. Romney was saying that just having foreign policy experience isn't enough!



God do I hate Dick Morris. He is a lying scumbag who has doggedly worked like a machine to destroy Romney's image. I hate him more than anyone. Actually, today, I sent emails to every single FOX show saying I would start a boycott of FOX news if they didn't report the Wyoming results tomorrow (Jan. 5) and didn't be more fair to the Governor.

I AM URGING EVERY SINGLE ONE OF YOU TO MAKE AN EMAIL AND COPY AND PASTE IT TO SEND TO EVERY FOX SHOW AND THREATEN A MASS BOYCOTT BY FRED AND MITT SUPPORTERS OF FOX.

DO IT! WE CAN MAKE A DIFFERENCE!

Send it to all your Mitt and Fred contacts in person and online and make this huge. Make Fox regret this.



Thank-you - I can't STAND Dick Morris. I heard him today as well. I can't understand why Hannity and Fox have him on - his biased agenda is so transparent. Hannity has him on constantly and I've had to stop listening because of it. I'm ready to boycott Fox.




posted by Myclob | 3:43 PM | permalink
http://corner.nationalreview.com/

"Huckabee took 14% of the vote and came in fourth in the Iowa caucus among non-evangelicals according to the NBC Republican exit poll. Huckabee's principal voting block was female born-again Christian Republicans living in non-urban rural areas with a population below 10,000. I dearly love such people, but demographically in the country at large there aren't that many of them.When Huckabee moves out of caucus Iowa and into primary state America, he's going to get killed."

Michael Medved just said that is a lie, and that the majority of evangelicals voted against Huckabee. This is were Medved lies with statistics. You see, evangelicals split their votes among Huckabee, Romney, McCain, and Fred Thompson. So perhaps a "majority" of evangelicals did not support Huckabee, but what Rich Lowry said above. Huckabee came in 4rth among non-evangelicals.

But who cares? Why point this out? Am I offending Evangelicals? Well it all has to do with the story line. Medved is going on and on about how wonderful Huckabee is, and how positive Huckabee has been, and that Huckabee has not gone negative.

Huckabee is negative. Huckabee:

  • Called Mitt Romney a liar on many occasions. Saying Mitt Romney is "dishonest and desperate"
  • Said Mitt Romney is disparate (see above)
  • Suggested that Romney should commit suicide (Google it)
  • Huckabee's campaign manager said he would like to knock Romney's teeth out
  • Huckabee has continued to leave posts on his website for over a month now that say that "Mitt Romney worships Satan" and is a "piece of Mormon Garbage". Their are hundreds of these comments on Huckabee's website, which is a clearning house of anti-Mormon information
  • Said that Mitt Romney is lying running for president, and that he would lie once he became president

And Medved has the audacity to go on and on about how positive Huckabee's message has been.

Michael Medved, how are citizens supposed to pick a president? Who ever is the nicest? IS that how we should pick who is president? There is a song that says, you got to be cruel to be kind. It is much NICER that mitt Romney kindly point out that Mike Huckabee pardoned 1,033 people, 12 of whom were convicted murderers, than to have the Democrats release cruel and humiliating heartfealt interviews with the families of these victims, destroying Mike Huckabee and any future that he had.

Mitt Romney is not making this personal. Mike Huckabee is calling Mitt Romney names, saying he isn't a liar, and Huckabee's website says that "Romney worships Satan". Mitt Romney is doing what campaigns should be about: issues. Michael Medved is destroying our ability to reason by saying that being nice is more important than fighting it out and seeing who and what is correct, and who is the last man standing.

This is the time for us to "fight it out" in the war of ideas. If you go to Brittan, and you go to the house of commons, their is none of the "I would like to turn the time over to my esteemed colleague" stuff that you have in the US Senate. They have a nock down drag out fight, and that is what we need to figure out who is best qualified to take on the democrats.

Not a mean spirited fight. But a respectful, but honest discussion of the issues.

And the Ironic thing is that that is exactly how Medved treats his guest. I would like to listen to the Michael Medved show if he could never point out problems with what his guest were saying, like he wants Mitt Romney to never point out problems with the other candidates.

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Rush Limbaugh Beside Himself - He Tried to Warn Conservatives 1/4/07

Listening to Rush today… He is beside himself. In short, he has done everything he can to warn conservatives for confusing populism with conservatism. He is horribly disappointed in the voters and what they accomplished in Iowa voting with their hearts and not their heads. Yes, he acknowledges the angst of middle income families even though he doesn’t see it himself. If it is really so, then it is not for us to look to a person or a candidate to “fix” us and our problems. We are to tap into the American spirit of self-reliance. If we are looking to the government to save us than we might as well hand over everything else over to the government.

Rush says that he says all these things because he loves us, he loves America, and he is hurt that the people of Iowa have abandoned conservative principles.

He’s got a lot to say, and we would all do well to wake up and see what these choices are and will do to our country.



Don't forget insinuation that Romney's not actually Christian - his whole thing about how he has thing friend who is atheist but it's ok because he's honest and how he really hates people who "claim" to be Christian but then don't act like Christians (or happen to be Mormon - probably about the same thing to him).



I used to really like Michael Medved but he has become so dishonest and blinded in his defenses of Huckabee and McCain and attacks on Romney.

In his eyes, Romney can do no right and Huckabee can do no wrong. He has ignored or glossed over every nasty and underhanded thing Huckabee has done and he thinks Romney is the negative campaigner.

It's very disappointing, but I'm confident Medved will have to confront the truth evetually.



This comment has been removed by the author.



Good post, myclob.



Medved has spent to much time in the liberal movie industry. I take what he says with a grain of salt. I think everybody is over reacting to Huck's victory last,including Rush to a point. It sounds like he's losing faith in the conservative base and I'm not. Iowa is just a poor indicator on the base at large.Mitt had to earn every vote he got in Iowa and he rasied his national profile.s in NH it can be spun as a huge comeback..This thing really doesn't feel like a victory because of the demographic.Look at how poor Huck is doing in NH without the religious base.Hopefully the independents will bolt McCain in NH and go to Obama.



Medved has been extremely disappointing in the last few weeks. It is almost as though he thinks any adversarial process in politics is bad. I happen to think it makes the outcome better. People get more informed. Otherwise, all you have is a popularity contest. People making decisions based on irrational identity politics instead of on th eissues and merits of a given candidate. If Iowa rejected negative campaigning, they did it at the sacrifice of truth.

How is the kind of campaign the Medved proposes any better than TV is at covering say, the war in Iraq is? TV will always be fundamentaly flawed because people it presents Huckabee type sound bites that do not flush out the issues or stances of a candidate. They will always worship a candidate like Huckabee who is an entertainer, rather than a serious politician. They value the candidate who loves earned media because he gives them a story to report.

Finally, how are we supposed to judge candidates and their ability to compete against Obama and Clinton if they are not tested in their primary? Do you really think calling your opponent names like dishonest is going to deflect the Democratic money machine that is going to be pumping really negative ads your direction nationwide?



I feel much of the same antipathy towards Medved as is expressed here. What makes his position so dishonorable is that he denys his own obvious bias! I do notice a common link here though, that is interesting. Medved, McCain, Brooks, most of the MSM, what do they all have in common? They are pro immigration. I think that is an important reason why they oppose Romney.

-Frank




posted by Kyle Hampton | 2:22 PM | permalink

This morning I got in contact with Congressman Lamar Smith's office and asked why he is supporting Mitt Romney for President. Here is his response.

Mitt Romney is a good man and he has the values, the experience, and the ability to be a great president. Character always counts. Mitt Romney and his wife, Ann, have raised five boys. That alone may qualify him to be President! He knows what family values are all about.

Mitt Romney has earned a reputation for unquestioned integrity. He has always conducted himself with honor and decency.

And he has established a record of success in every area – public, private and non-profit. He has a history of solving problems and coming up with solutions when no one else can.

As Governor of Massachusetts, he reversed the state’s financial decline and balanced the budget every year of his administration. He turned deficits into surpluses and created 57,000 new jobs. Think what a record like that could mean for our country.

Governor Romney championed education reform. He supported merit pay and more math and science courses in high school, and made public colleges more accessible. He recognizes that better educational opportunities enable the next generation to prosper. Imagine what a record like that could mean for America’s students.

Along with education, a top priority of the American people is health care. Governor Romney persuaded a Democratic legislature to enact a law that provides health insurance to every
resident of the state. He accomplished this through the private sector, without a government takeover and without raising taxes. Think what it would mean to each American family to have a workable solution to the looming health care crisis.

Mitt Romney also has an impressive record in the private sector. He founded an investment company that helped launch hundreds of successful businesses. In other words, Mitt Romney
knows how to manage a large business and create jobs, something he has been doing all his life. Those talents will benefit our country too.

In the non-profit arena, Mitt Romney left a successful business career and became President and CEO of the 2002 Olympics when it was in disarray. In his three years at the helm, he erased a deficit, organized thousands of volunteers, and implemented unprecedented security measures after the 9/11 attack. The 2002 Olympics was considered the best ever held in
America.

As a candidate for President, Mitt Romney is the nominee our Party needs in 2008. He can unite the conservative coalition and help the Republican Party across this country from California to Maine. Frankly, if a conservative Republican can be elected in liberal Massachusetts, he can be elected anywhere!

We can make a difference in this election. We can help determine the direction of our country. We can pick the person who should win because of his values, character and experience --
and who will win because of his electability.

Mitt Romney is a good man; he will be a great President. Let’s give him our enthusiastic support.

Rep. Lamar Smith (R-TX) has represented the 21st District of Texas since 1987. He is the Ranking Republican Member of the House Judiciary Committee.

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posted by Jeff Fuller | 12:59 PM | permalink
What happened in Iowa (my take over at Iowans for Romney)

Jeff Fuller
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posted by Kyle Hampton | 11:53 AM | permalink
It’s times like this that make you take a look at yourself to see what’s really at the core. Of course I say that metaphorically (unless I have x-ray vision…checking…nope, no luck). I know the tendency (and believe me, I indulged last night) is to say the world is falling. Yet, there is comfort in history. Reagan. Bush 41. Clinton. These are all people who lost Iowa and yet went on to win the presidency. In fact, Clinton didn’t win a state until Feb. 5th. Probably all of you already knew that, but it has added importance for Romney because he has been running a traditional campaign that relies on historical precedent. In spite of the propensity of some to declare a new way to running a campaign (I’m looking at you Rudy (“I’m waiting until Florida to compete.”), Fred (“All I need is the web and I’ll ‘virtually’ win.”), and McCain (“Who needs Republicans when I can get non-Republicans to vote for me.”)), Romney stuck to a traditional model reliant on historical examples. Winning campaigns, historically, won early and often. Thus, the historical examples are relevant because they already provided a basis for Romney’s campaign plan.

But relying purely on history would be little comfort alone. More than just history, I am comforted that we truly do have the best candidate. Mitt Romney is, for me, the once-in-a-generation candidate. He is a conservative who knows why conservatism works. He’s seen the depravity of liberalism and has been won over by conservative principles. He has fought and won against a liberal agenda. Most of all, he would inject government with a dose of competence only seen once in a generation. I believe in Mitt Romney and take comfort that he is the best candidate.

So, cheer up all you Mitt-heads who are down today. The sun rises again. History is on our side. And most of all, we have a candidate for the ages. On to New Hampshire!
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posted by Mike | 11:53 AM | permalink

We have countries around the world splintered and broken because too many people are only able to support leaders of their particular religion. Yet Laura Ingraham said this morning that we should not be upset at Huckabee because he won in Iowa.

This is a very interesting take! The Republican electorate turned out in record numbers and revealed in the Fox entrance polls that they were looking for a candidate that “shared their same values.” Of the 115,000 people who turned out, 60% were Evangelicals, a good deal higher than the state average.

Is it very hard to decide which of the following values were most important to this group? Choose one:

  1. Hard working, disciplined, and smart (graduated in top 30% of Harvard Law class and top 5% of Harvard Business School class) and successful at turning around ventures of all types, public as well as private.

  2. Shares my religious beliefs.

Huckabee’s campaign denies that Evangelicals played a significant role, yet entrance polls showed that 46% of the Evangelicals went for Huckabee. Huckabee of course had summoned his supporters to caucus, telling them to “Hijack your church’s bus!” Hijacking probably was not necessary, given that pastors across the state had already been tutored in a conference call by prominent Evangelicals Tim LaHaye, Rick Scarborough, and Michael Farris, all having publicly endorsed Huckabee. Finally, Huckabee told his blogger supporters: “You are doing the Lord’s work!” (Comments on Huckabee’s Web site are notably hate-filled and bigoted beyond belief…)

The double standard that prevails should be alarming. One can only imagine what would happen if several key leader of the LDS Church publicly endorsed Mitt Romney and then organized a conference call to “get people out to the caucuses!” It should be clear that even if Mitt’s name were not mentioned, the press would be all over this!

Religious bigotry and empty populism solve no problems, and any politician who bases their campaign on these principles does a disservice to the electorate that they attract, as well as to the society in which they live.

It is important to remember that 66% of Iowa Republicans would seem to agree, given that they did not succumb to Huckabee’s divisive messages and voted for someone else.

Mike B.

Update:

Charles at Evangelicals for Mitt laments: "They decisively rejected EFM's message that values, not theological particulars, are what matters in a presidential election."

While the overall results are indeed disappointing, we should be at least slightly encouraged that 54% of the Evangelical Republicans in Iowa were NOT influenced by Huckabee's populist appeal and the bigoted sub-text of his message.

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According to Jeff Fuller's story at Iowans for Romney:

The New York Times is reporting that OVER 80% of Huckabee caucus supporters described themselves as Evangelical Christians.

Now that is identity politics!



One caveat. We're talking about mostly evangelicals with a household income of less than 30K. Draw your own conclusion.



How revealing.

54% you say?

So who voted for Huckabee?

Some non-evangelicals?

Practice saying the words "economic populism". You will need them in the coming weeks.



Chester:

I am not sure I understand your point. Perhaps I was not clear: 54% of the Evangelicals were not fooled by Huckabee and voted for someone else. Furthermore, 66% of the Republicans voted against Huckabee. A New York Times analysis showed that Mitt won hands down with others.




posted by Justin Hart | 10:18 AM | permalink

The first thing that political consultants look at when evaluating a local election is turnout. The question for the candidate is: does big turnout help or hurt you? In this case, big turnout hurt Romney, big.

There's no getting around the fact that second place in Iowa is not where Mitt wanted to be. Word on the ground is that we got out almost everyone we expected to get out to vote. But there were nearly 30,000 more people voting the GOP caucus compared to the caucuses in 2000. Those votes went overwhelmingly to Huckabee.

Patrick Ruffini noted last week that Romney's ground game may not help his with the odd beast known as the Iowa caucus, and it didn't. In a regular primary election (like New Hampshire) poll watchers can glance over the voter lists for each precinct and find our who hasn't voted yet. They phone those names back to HQ and make a call to remind them. No such luck with a 6:00PM caucuses. In other words, in a simple ordinary primary election there's room to "stoke the fire" in real-time. Not so in Iowa.

Bottom line: Mitt did a great job getting out the vote, Huckabee did better. Huck did better not because of his organization but because he successfully sold his populist brand of conservatism to Evangelical Christians.

Two other factors are complicit in the Romney loss: the big field and the timing. Thompson, McCain and Paul pulled in double digit percentages in the results. That certainly didn't help. And the December Huckabee surge was bad, Bad, BAD for Romney. All year, the Romney campaign had successfully batted down McCain, Rudy, Brownback and Thompson in the early states. No such luck with Huckabee with the twelve days of Christmas bearing down. Of course, the 5 days to New Hampshire doesn't help any.


The Good News

Still, Romney got two of the three things he wanted last night:

  1. Oh well, we lost. Woulda loved that win. Bugger.
  2. McCain came in fourth with Thompson holding his own. McCain can't run the tables in New Hampshire bragging of a 4th place finish.
  3. Obama won. Which means fewer independent vote will cross over to vote for McCain in New Hampshire.

As a senior Romney official told me last night: "no where on God's green earth is there another place where 60% of the vote is made up of Evangelical Christians. Not even in South Carolina." Yes, Huckabee will get a bump but can he pull out a double-pump boost in New Hampshire? I'm not convinced.

Iowa hurts, but my money is still on Romney.

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Justin, good analysis. It's gonna be a great competition!

(Still) Your Friends,

Jack and Charmaine

http://www.charmaineyoest.com/2008/01/huckabee_wins_the_iowa_caucus.php



"successfully sold his populist brand"

GAG me. Seriously, populist politics nauseate me.

Remember, this is the same state that elected Tom Harkin, Mr. Liberal Populist, over and over and over and over again. Pandering with populism might sell in Iowa, but it doesn't where it counts. I'm not convinced it sells in NH, either--and history and the current polls certainly seem to confirm that. Thank God, because I can't stand that stuff--and I'm exactly in a demographic they'd expect to sell it to! Divorced non-working mom on VA disability? Oh, how someone like John Edwards or Mike Huckabee would salivate for my demographic! Sorry, I'm not buyin' it...I don't want to be empowered or identified as a "little guy," I want to have a real future for my daughter and me.



And I see the Yoests are gracious, as usual. :)

::waves to Jack and Charmaine::




posted by jason | 1:23 AM | permalink



OK, Ok, I won't play that game tonight! Fair is fair, Romney had the floor wiped with his behind. Unfortunately, Romney lost, and he lost by not a small margin.



I am not happy about this, although my Des Moines made McDonald's McFlurry has certainly lifted my spirits.



I won't even spin it, this is a problem for Romney. While I can still envision many scenarios where Romney wins (even one without a NH win), everyone on the site agrees life would have ben better had Mitt won tonight.



So I say congratulations to Huckabee. You won. You earned it. No excuses.



To Romney I say, you're the best candidate. You're no longer are the front runner in my mind, but I think you still have the chance here to win, and I hope you do.

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I think Huck won playing the poverty card. Crying about being outspent 20-1 and his latest line about I'm the guy you work with,not the guy who laid you off.I think the attack ads hurt Mitt also. But Huck should have won big because he had such a natural base there. Romney was playing on his turf.At the end of the day the Evangelicals wanted to make a statement about life.Their heart is in the right place but not their heads. At least Hillary got whooped,let's hope that continues. Thanks for the reports out there.



That's what I like about you. It is what it is.

But what is it? I can't even sleep tonight feeling like Iowa has betrayed the whole country. I wasn't ready for conservatism to be dead. Boy, do I hope I'm over-reacting.

Doesn't feel like it though. Plus I have to go to the dentist tomorrow. Maybe that's part of it.



I'm as disappointed as anyone about Mitt not finishing Iowa as #1, but I take consolation in the reality that he was up against a fundamentalist underground of religious fanatics -- spurred by a manipulative Elmer-Gantry-type personality.

There was only one issue in the Iowa race, IMO: bigotry. It was played by the media, by the Huckster and conjoined by Mitt's political opponents.

What we must hope for is that in succeeding states, we must unite to do everything in our power to keep issues in the forefront. To do otherwise will be to allow extremists at both ends of the spectrum of politics to dominate.

The fate of this nation is at stake. IMO, only one person can lead us forward. That person is Mitt Romney.

We can whine and complain while the Hucksters and the McVains continue to splinter our future or we can stand TOGETHER and support the only candidate capable of uniting us.

Lead, follow or get the heck out of the way!!!!



Jason,

Get some sleep and pull yourself together. A comment like "Romney had the floor wiped with his behind" is beneath you and frankly beneath someone who purports to support Gov. Romney for that matter. It's IOWA, really. Many have lost Iowa and gone on to win. If your 'support' for Mitt can't a first in the nation caucus, 2nd place finish (not 3rd, 4th, 5th, but 2ND) - maybe you need to go home.



You're not 'spinning' if you look at some numbers:

First of all, you're right; Romney would have done better to win in Iowa, but it won't kill him. Reagan lost Iowa too.

Second, the Republican turnout was between 102,000 and 114,000 (just based on what reports are telling me). Huckabee finished with a nine-point lead, so that means about ten thousand voters. The margins are only so wide because the turnout was so small. There are 2 million registered voters in Iowa, putting the turnout at 5%

Third, Huckabee doesn't have the pasta to keep going.

Fourth, Huckabee is dead last in New Hampshire, though the media will now hype him up there like they did in Iowa, only NH doesn't have the stout Baptist population of Iowa. Romney owns him in NH by a margin of about 26 points.

That's all. Keep your chin up.



Big picture: If Romney had won here and then NH the media story would have big moneybags wins and we won't be reporting on this jerk until next October. Result: the real Romney is hidden from the general view. If Romney fights back now with gusto, The media loses control of the story, the country sees the real Romney. This may be his safest chance to win the presidency ultimately. When the going gets tough the tough get going. We shall see. Also now the Republicans will have to figure out what being a Republican means. Let the fun begin!



I think you are counting the governor out a little too quickly. Most people know Huckabee is not only an unelectable candidate, he is unacceptable (as said over at Evangelicals for Mitt). Yes Mitt lost in Iowa, but only among evangelical voters. Outside that voting block he did very well.

He will do well in NH, and many other states along the way. His message will get out. Hopefully he will do well in the upcoming debate. etc...



Big picture: If Romney had won here and then NH the media story would have been “big moneybags wins and we won’t be reporting on this jerk until next October”. Result: the real Romney is hidden from the general view. If Romney fights back now with gusto, the media loses control of the story and the country is forced to see the real Romney. This may be his safest chance to win the presidency ultimately. When the going gets tough the tough get going. We shall see. Also, now the Republicans will have to figure out what being a Republican means. Let the fun begin!



I'm with Gull on this one.... Huck did nothing to earn this win.... are you kidding???? Kudos to his pastors though. THEY won this for him; pulled out all their class notes from Bigots 101 and socked it to the ONE candidate who can pull this country together...



I think Romney needs to start selling himself now. Forget the attack stuff. Just sell. "I am the candidate on immigration. I am the candidate on the economy."

He also needs to point out that he performed exactly the way the polls said he would have performed when you look at the RCP and just hand it over to Huckabee's supporters for getting the vote out.

Right now, Romney needs to win New Hampshire. A win there hurts McCain and revitalizes his own going into Wyoming and Michigan.

Huckabee is going to get destroyed in New Hampshire, and he knows that. The spotlight will fade. It's up to Romney to assure that he regains the front-runner status so that he takes Michigan and Nevada.

Fight Fight Fight!




Thursday, January 3, 2008
posted by Kyle Hampton | 11:36 PM | permalink
Looking for some sense to be found in the insanity of the Iowa result, I found a calming post by Nancy French over at EFM:

And then I sit down to the news that Huckabee wins on the strength of evangelicals? Hello? Testing - 1-2-3. Is my mic not on?

For some reason, Charles, I'm not even upset. I know, I know -- it's quite inexplicable, after all my posts about the Huckmeister's antics. However, it might be because Huckabee is not marginally unacceptable, he's totally unacceptable. For some reason this makes it better -- I have faith some of the people who've watched
silently from the sidelines will pipe up and say, "No more."

Heck, I have faith that truth will prevail. Call me old-fashioned, but I simply refuse to believe that a guitar playing, weight-loss touting former preacher who's as conservative as Jimmy Carter can sustain this act.

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Yeah, I like Nancy French..... but found her post earlier made me just a tad bit squeamish when she said that what happened tonight was "God's will..." I don't think that God necessarily wants one candidate over another.... I think He gives us agency to choose - and tonight there happened to be more people that chose to believe they were voting for Pastor....instead of President. It's really that simple. Hopefully the rest of the country can choose not to be Huckstered.....



I do pray that what happened tonight in Iowa is an anomaly.

I do pray that more evangelicals will realize that if they vote for someone simply because he is “one of them” — someone who is of the same faith as they are — that someday there will be no room for anyone of faith in America.

One of the things that has made this country so great is because there is freedom and respect for all religions — even no religion.

The separation of church and state makes it possible for all of us to go to the church or synagogue of our choice or no church at all!

The day that we elect someone because they are the “Christian leader” is the day that Christianity begins to lose in America.



Yep, I found her post comforting too. And I agree with Kermit. There is pain involved with collective free agency.




posted by Justin Hart | 10:51 PM | permalink
Here are the reports in from the field (minus Jason who will probably file his own report).

"M" (my friend, the incredible Romney volunteer) says the rural corn field evangelical vote went overwhelmingly for Huckabee. Apparently, that's the theme of the night. As "X" says below... the Romney camp did what it needed to do... Huckabee just brought out the evangelical vote in a larger percentage.

Spoke with "X" (senior Romney official). His thoughts: "Here's the deal. We turned out our people... we expected to get what we got. Huckabee and his brand and style and just pulled out the evangelical vote which made up the difference."

"Bottom line. There is no where else on Gods's green earth where more than 50% of the voters are Evangelical Christians... even in SC its 40% but not 50%."

"We got 2 of the 3 things we wanted tonight. Obviously, a win would have been great. But having Fred match or beat McCain was one of our goals."

"Lastly, we really REALLY wanted Obama to win. With Obama finishing strong and taking momentum to New Hampshire the independent vote will not cross over to John McCain."

In my mind there's a real chance to grab a victory in New Hampshire and come out on top. I can't see how Huckabee can go on from here with no money, no organization and no built-in base to count on.

Romney is still the guy to beat as I see it.

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I am sick. Just sick.

To think that the evangelicals in Iowa could so blindly support a man who is, in every way, except for pro-life, a liberal, is just disgusting to me.

It makes me embarrased to call myself an evangelical.

Huckabee is a liberal democrat and should be running for the nomination on that ticket.

I think I'm going to throw up.



Thanks for all the great reporting!

I am optimistic about Mitt grabbing a victory in NH, especially now that you mention the Obama / Independent factor. I hadn't thought about that.

That being said, I'm so glad I don't watch network TV... I do not want to see the "downfall of Mitt" spin his 2nd place finish is going to cause.

Makes me wish I lived in NH...



I'm just so frustrated with Iowa voters right now, the fact that a large percentage of them say they made up their mind today. You don't go moving your state to first in the nation and then make up your mind the last two hours. Use your brains people. One lady was complaining about the volume of material she would get in her mailbox. Don't go first in the nation and then complain you get stuff in the mail lady. The audacious, brainless, arrogance of the people of Iowa really just startles me. If you're going first in the nation then do your homework people, take some responsibility. Mitt is too kind if he thanks the people of Iowa, what a bunch of corn huckers.

I guess I should point out the obvious fact that my views do not necessarily represent those of the Romney campaign just so this message doesn't get censored for it's frankness, but I'm pretty disappointed in Iowa's brainless and failing effort at the simple task of electing a conservative individual. How hard could it be to take the religious bigot blinders off?

The Republican party oughta drop-kick Iowa's delegates into late October, and if they want 'em then go and get 'em.



Big Jay's take
In my precinct, Romney blew everyone else out of the water, garnering over twice as many votes as the nearest competitor. I learned that in Iowa the retail politics work. In a neighboring precinct without a Romney precinct captain the Huckmeister came in with a one vote lead.

- In New Hampshire the Giuliani people are going to cross over and vote for McCain to try to knock out Romney.

Good for Obama. He'll pull the independents to vote in the Democratic primary there, which will be a good thing for Romney.

Romney has a good shot in Michigan.

Romney will win Wyoming.

South Carolina is still up in the air, and the Hucksters will be out in force from here on out in SC. Rollins will try to play dirty there. And Huck will take the gloves off. Hopefully the Romney organization can make some more inroads in South Carolina.



Only Huckabee could make me vote Democrat. Might as well get a confessed liberal over one in denial. But he won't make it that far, just 'cause most Iowans had meat fer brains tonight. Unbelievable.



Did you see the glee of the MSM and all the Dem reporters/pundits tonight???? They are absolutely frothing at the mouth over the possibility of a Huck Victory for Pres Nom. And they have every right to feel this way!! Huck will be utterly destroyed in a General Election.... And if he goes on to be the Republican nomination, the Republican party can blame the brainless kool-aid drinking evangelicals who chose to vote for Pastor of the Year, rather than President.



"I'm just so frustrated with Iowa voters right now, the fact that a large percentage of them say they made up their mind today."
Anonymous, I TOTALLY agree with you! I have been frustrated for months by this very fact, that people are not doing their homework on these candidates. It's VERY frustrating, and I am not impressed with Iowans for taking this attitude. Thanks for expressing what I've been feeling!

Interesting note: CNN posted an entrance poll that showed that when you remove the Evangelical vote from the results, here's what you get:
Romney 33
Huckster 14
I think this is the biggest news for the GOP side of the caucus tonight. CNN is the only one mentioning this.



If the RCP poll average remains constant regarding New Hampshire, than Romney will effectively have the lead even though he came in second in both states. He will have 17 delegates while Huckabee will have 16 with McCain at 12. With Romney basically destroying The Wyoming caucus and most likely Winning Michigan, his lead will continue to expand. Unlike the Primaries, the popular vote really does matter.



There was an inkling that this was coming yesterday when Frank Luntz had his focus group. People kept repeating Huck's tripe about how they were not going to let someone buy the election in Iowa. Give it up!! And apparently Mitt spent $3 million between 7 and 10 o'clock because the price tag for his expenses for the caucus kept going up.

I look forward to seeing Mitt continue his climb up to the White House, even though it would have been better if he had won. Just wait a few days and Huck will call NH a godless place and all will be forgotten about that cold long wasted night in Iowa



Justin, you have done great work, we appreciate it.

Huck's win was purely to stop "the Mormon", I testily blogged about this here: http://mydryfly.wordpress.com/2008/01/04/why-iowa-chose-huckabee/




posted by Scott Allan | 9:02 PM | permalink
I was watching the returns on Fox News who got the first interview with Mitt Romney. Mitt pointed out that he was down by 22% just a few weeks ago and was able to close the gap to 8% (31% to 23% with 41% of precincts reporting) in the last few weeks. He also points out how he substantially beat Giuliani, Thompson, and McCain and does not expect Huckabee to be a major player going forward. Oh and don't forget that Rush Limbaugh hates Huckabee. Romney is still well positioned for the nomination.

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I'd like to congratulate the Democrats on their victory over Romney in Iowa tonight. It appears that if things go your way from here on out that you will have two options to choose from on the 2008 ballot.

Sometimes, you shift tactics midway. McCain, then Giuliani, then Thompson all lost their "front runner" status. I had always been focused on the early states while someone else was a front runner. Now that no one really is a front runner, our strategy now should be to win nationally. Especially since, Huckabee has little hope of running effectively outside of Iowa in the ensuing month, except for maybe South Carolina.

In the end, I think (I certainly hope!) the Republican electorate will realize that nominating Huckabee is ensuring a Democratic President in 2008 (whether he wins or loses!).



why aren't you guys giving more updates?



There's a very good chance Romney will lose NH, but will come out of it having the most total actual votes out of Iowa and NH total than anybody else. This is the popular vote card Gore played in 2000, but I think it does show that Romney is the only guy who can compete everywhere. Look how McCain is doing in Iowa, and watch how Huckabee does in NH.

A few one-sided specialists can take down the strongest and most comprehensive candidate by playing to niches that won't play in the future.

Romney still has a pretty good chance, sure he's the certified underdog and lost big tonight, but Huckabee and McCain will have their records scrutinized moreso than before and I'm confident in Romney's chances at picking up Michigan and Nevada, and I don't see a Giuliani-takes-a-fractured-field threat on the horizon like I used to.



And there's a very real chance that Mitt is toast. He tried very hard to take Iowa, outspent his opponents and didn't pull it off. Sorry, he's not gonna make it.



Iowa has a terrible track record of picking a President. Their vote matters for just a few days and then they will be forgotten. Let's not get worked up into a frenzy now.




posted by Justin Hart | 9:01 PM | permalink
Huck has won, Mitt has come into second. On to New Hampshire!
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Politico says that Romney conceded victory to Huck earlier today.




posted by Justin Hart | 8:55 PM | permalink
It's still early... but here's the latest:

RESULTS:
Clinton 32; Obama 31; Edwards 34
Huckabee 33; Romney 24 McCain 11 Paul 0; Thompson 17 Giuliani 0
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posted by Anonymous | 8:53 PM | permalink
The results at the precinct featured on the CNN live feed are:

1. McCain
2. Romney
3. Thompson
4. Huckabee
5. Giuliani
6. Paul

Very interesting microcosm. As I noted below, probably the best speech given at this preceinct was for McCain. Apparently, there are undecideds in the crowd that can be swayed. Hopefully, we have good speakers at all of the events.
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posted by Kyle Hampton | 8:30 PM | permalink
Well, it's finally here: Caucus day. Jason's out there, working hard and following the campaign. Unfortunately, I'm here in California (gearing up for my last semester of law school), trying to get a sense of everything going on out there in Iowa. So, I'm asking for your help.

We want to give everyone a feel of what is going on all around Iowa. To do this we need you to write in. Let us know what's going on, either why you voted for Mitt or any other circumstances going on where you caucused. I will post your thoughts and experiences throughout the day.

Email us at info@mymanmitt.com. Tell us what you've seen or heard or why you voted for Mitt. Thanks for your help and GO ROMNEY!

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posted by Justin Hart | 8:23 PM | permalink
Jason was at the Waukee precinct with the Romney press corps. His viewpoint:

Overwhelming crowds! So big that people are leaving the caucuses without voting.

Timotheus: The Des Moines Register seems to confirm the turnout.
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posted by Anonymous | 8:23 PM | permalink
The GOP Precinct that CNN is airing on their live feed just had a Romney supporter speaking. He declared, "We need a tranformational leader!" Hits on his experience. Hits on the challenges we face from competition with Asia, Jihad, etc. Good speech overall.

The first speaker was a Giuliani supporter, duly noting that the candidate hasn't been to Iowa much. Kind of lackluster.

The next was a Huckabee supporter. Emphasizing how everyone is tired and how Huckabee is a positive candidate. Also a real lackluster endorsement.

The McCain supporter spoke about substance. Clearly a professional campaign operative and not your average voter. Says he worked with McCain in Washington. Talks about Richard Nixon and how he opened up China to dialogue. Says McCain can do the same in the Mideast.

The Fred Thompson supporter spoke last. He hits on doing what is right. Says you can't pole holes in Thompson's career. Well, yeah, because no one bothered to. Gets a good reaction from the crowd though.

The voting begins...
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posted by Justin Hart | 7:28 PM | permalink

You might recall that the Romney campaign ran the tables at the FRC Value Voters poll in the media, despite the narrow victory over Huckabee by 40 votes. Will we see the same thing tonight?

Remember, the Romney press machine successfully churned the narrow straw poll victory into a press coup. If Romney edges out Huckabee by a sliver look for the Romney campaign to squeeze everything they can out of the win.

If Romney comes out in second, look for the same.

I'll say it again. The Bush administration has failed, Failed, FAILED to win the information war which is why we need someone who understands the new media and understand what it means to "flood the zone".

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posted by Justin Hart | 6:42 PM | permalink

Hey folks. I've been away with family weddings and vacations but I'm back in action tonight.

Let me set up the cast of characters for you to guide us through Iowa:

First, Jason Bonham, leaving wife and children to trod through Iowa following Romney embedded with the press. Jason will no doubt be making his own updates throughout the day but I'll pitch in and throw an audible via proxy for him from time to time.

Second, my best friend, we'll call him M. He is showing me up big time by leaving his 5 kids to spend 3 days in Iowa and 4+ in New Hampshire. M is from Virginia but will actually be giving the pro-Romney speech at a caucus location in South East Iowa. He'll give us some excellent insights as the night proceeds.

Third, Romney campaign staffer. We'll call him "Scooter" (just because). Scooter will give us the perspective from the home base and keep tabs on the unexpected for us.

Fourth, Romney campaign staffer in Iowa. We'll call him "X" - a highly prized consultant to the Romney campaign with good knowledge of Iowa.

OK... here's our first report:

Jason - is down at the Marriott Hotel with other press folks waiting for the fireworks. He saw Amanda Carpenter right after her Ed Rollins experience. Apparently, there's even more to the what Ed had to say about Romney and family. Yuck. Ugly. Jason must be tired but I think he's having the time of his life.

M - Last I spoke with "M" (my best friend from Virginia) he was in a car with other Romney supporters making stops at various caucus locations, dropping off people to make the Romney pitch to the local crowd. Yesterday, he said HQ was overflowing, packed with people. "M" tells me that the area captains for Team Romney are jumping off the walls. These are the folks who are in charge of the geographical regions in Iowa. Apparently, the amount of support they have gotten to help them in their efforts is literally overwhelming.

Scooter - I asked "Scooter" in Boston about one of my favorite topics, push-polling. The timfoil hat theories that other campaigns are pushing seem to be falling apart since its apparent that the NH AG will not have a report ready before next Tuesday. "Scooter" will be shooting up to New Hampshire to meet Romney tonight after the caucus.

"X" - This top Romney consultant tells me that he feels great. In his opinion, Huckabee has completely outsourced his GOTV efforts, relying on the Fair Tax and Homeschool crowds. One reporter indicated that the Huckabee phonebank was full of 13 year olds compared to the serious non-outsourced volunteers who (like "M" above) have come from all over the country to help out.

All of these sources tell me it will be a nail biter but that they feel the Governor can really pull it out in the end.

More soon!

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posted by Anne | 6:24 PM | permalink
Wrapped up GOTV operations at HQ in Johnson County Iowa at 4:20 pm. In the end we were so efficient we were phoning for other counties. Had time for a few pix before the Iowans rushed off to gather for caucus. More pix and commentary here.
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posted by Mike | 5:25 PM | permalink
Everyone should read this letter posted yesterday on Hugh Hewitt's blog.

Send it to ANYONE you know in Iowa South Carolina.

Mike B.
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I'm not even through the article all the way yet and I feel like I'm reading about the Clintons. Not to inject conspiracy theories into the debate over who should lead the free world, but is it possible that Huckabee, being a successor of the Clintons in Arkansas, might actually be doing their bidding using his GOP affiliation as a smokescreen?

His positions are just uncannily like the platform of the Democrat party.




posted by Kyle Hampton | 5:23 PM | permalink
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Well yessir buddy that's right, just come on out and say it. What did he call Huckabee, a phony roller plastic banana - or some such. Rush is always borrowing my ideas and never gives me credit.



I don't know who's worse the Hucknutters ot the Paultards.



At least the Ron Paul supporters research their candidate's positions, even the wacky ones. That puts them above the average Huck backer, who seem to vote based on emotion.




posted by jason | 4:27 PM | permalink
At ate Krause Gently Headquarters in Des Moines. This event was inside the atrium. It allowed me to go up to the second level and take some pictures from the second floor.








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The picutre from behind Romney while he is speaking is a nice shot.




posted by jason | 4:27 PM | permalink
At the Kum an Go Headquarters in Des Moines


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posted by Kyle Hampton | 4:14 PM | permalink
Marc Ambinder passes this along:

A Romney volunteer writes:
Today I spent all day at the Romney HQ manning the phones calling voters all over Iowa. We ran into voters who told us they had gotten calls from people stating they represented the Romney campaign and when the voter disclosed they planned to vote for Romney, the caller then asked to take a few minutes to outline Romney's policy positions. The caller would then provide a litany of misleading statements like how Romney planned to raise taxes and why, etc.
Me: If any of you have gotten these calls, let us know. Email us at info@mymanmitt.com.

Also, don't forget to tell us why you caucused for Mitt or any of the other goings on in Iowa. Email us at info@mymanmitt.com.

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posted by Anonymous | 3:25 PM | permalink
While Iowans go to Caucus, Romney leads nationally, for the first time in the Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Tracking Survey. While his lead is statistically insignificant, it is still a symbolic moment for those of us who spent months explaining why national numbers don't necessarily matter. Hopefully, Iowans will make sound decisions today.
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posted by jason | 2:54 PM | permalink
Photographer shooting pics of Romney



Romney spokesperson Eric Fehnstron on the plane talking to reporters



Romney Supporters in Bettendorf, IA



Supporters in Cedar Rapids



Romney in Cedar Rapids

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posted by Kyle Hampton | 1:32 PM | permalink
Remember, I will be posting your thoughts about why you voted for Romney or what you have seen going on in Iowa as we help the Romney campaign win in Iowa. Send your comments to info@mymanmitt.com.

Reader Scott sends along a link to his blog. Here's a snippet:

Caucus Day is finally here, and I couldn't be more pleased. I have my blue shirt, red tie, and Mitt Romney campaign sticker on, I have a full schedule for therapy, and I get off work an hour early so I can go round the neighborhood and pick up septigenerian and octogenerians and take them with me to our precinct tonight. For a political junkie, it's like having the Super Bowl in your backyard.

Last night I spent some time over at the county headquarters for Des Moines County (which happens to be nowhere near Des Moines, Iowa) and made some phone calls to Republicans in Burlington, helping them know where their precinct is and counting potential votes. It was so much fun that I called Shauri afterward and asked her if there was anything else I could do to help our county (she's the county chair for Henry County). Indeed she did have a stack of tasks for me. She's been working very hard for the campaign. Yesterday she was able to get more people to change their votes when she followed up on the calls she made almost a month ago. She reported though that there are a lot of people who still haven't made up their minds about who they will support, and aren't even bothering to do the research on the candidates to see what their positions are.

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posted by Justin Hart | 1:04 PM | permalink
(from Jason Bonham)

Day of the caucus. Today we are at Principal Financial network in Des Moines, where Romney will be speaking to the employees. Obviously one doesn’t have to think too hard to understand why Romney would focus on this group.

In the audience is Jim DeMint, Bob Bennet and Wayne Allard.

Some quotes:

Romney makes good joke “Don’t Touch the hair” The media laughs pretty hard at this.

“Wrong idea is to have Katrina People run medical care. “

“A lot of people running can talk about their ideas on healthcare…but I am the only guy who can talk about their success in healthcare.”

460,000 prior to Romney’s plan without insurance, now there are 300,000 new sign ups for insurance so far.

Hits topics on energy independence.

“Battle on best jobs in the world…now we are competing with China and India”

“Staying ahead and remaining world’s economic leader will not b as easy as it used to be”

Putting up trade barriers ”would absolutely guarantee America becoming a second their power”

“Americans love families and are patriotic.”

“I want to keep our tax burdens down, particularly on middle income families.”

“ I don’t think that there is anything more important than what goes on in the four walls of the American home.”

“I am convinced our future is brighter than our past”

“With you help and your vote, which I need, please go to the caucuses and vote, multiple times”

Questions from the audience:

1. Question about ads focusing targeting competitors. “can we look forward to that in the generals?”

Romney: ”absolutely” We need to get out the contrast, but “I am not going to attack character and tell people that they are dishonest.” “Part of politics and a good campaign is to define those differences so the people know where we line up.”

2. “How do you plan to increase the size of the military when they are having problems with that right now.”

If people are being called on to active duty, they don’t want to stay enrolled. Romney instituted “welcome Home Bill” gave four years of tuition fee free in Mass schools. Enrollment went up 30%. They need a good offer. We can raise from 1.5 million to 1.6 million.

3. What are your plans for congressional cooperation?

Romney: one of the great questions of any election. Washington is fundamentally broken, no real policy on a host of issues.

Learned from experience with “somewhat Democratic” legislature.

1. Never attacked Character of opposition in the Legislature.
2. Met regularly every week, personal relationship of trust. Dinners with wives”
3. Looked for common ground. Ex. Health Care Bill
4. Less score settling, shared credit, good for future negotiations
5. Recognition we need to act now

***Probably one of the best answers he’s given to a question that I have seen.

Romney basically hit every topic he could. Of note is that today Romney is wearing his dapper Navy Blue Suite as opposed to the khaki pants and plaid shirt from Yesterday. I doubt the guy could talk to a group of financial employees without being dressed in a suite. Romney clearly is on his home turf today,
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posted by jason | 11:41 AM | permalink
Gary Marx is the conservative coalitions director for the Romney Campaign and held the same job for Bush/Cheney as well as for the Alito and Robert's confirmation. In my opinion, it's safe to say that Gary can take a little bit of the credit for the success that the Romney campaign has had thus far with the Evangelical and values-based based endorsements and voters.


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Great interview! I see two key ingredients here: (1) evangelicals, conservative Catholics, Mormons and other Christians, Jews, etc. need to realize how hard it is IN PRACTICE to fight liberal secularism, and what a prize we have in Romney who is smart and able and EXPERIENCED in this fight (I would strongly include moderate Muslims in this group as I see them as peaceful and good people who care about traditional values including life and marriage and family), and (2) for conservative voters who are not motivated so much on the social issues of abortion and traditional marriage/family, they have in Romney a smart, able, and experienced leader on economic issues. And he is really an effective communicator in terms of breaking things down in undestandable terms. MITT MUST WIN TODAY IN IOWA FOLKS! Let's do what it takes!




posted by Kyle Hampton | 11:19 AM | permalink
From reader Brad:

I'm at Headquarters today in Urbandale, Iowa with the volunteer force. We have had an AMAZING response from people all over Iowa and across the country coming together to make calls. Bill Hemmer (sp?) of Fox News was here and just blown away. He had just come from the Huckabee office, and said that most of his volunteers were 13-year-old girls making calls. So, he was impressed by the quality of our volunteers.

Yesterday we had pep talks from Ann Romney, Gentry Collins, Doug Gross (former candidate for Iowa Gov) and others. It was an inspirational day, and we're making thousands of phone calls. We are optimistic, but working like it all depends on us (because, in many ways, it does)...

So, things are going great. Anything else you want to know?

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Yes...here's a question for you...hopefully Governor Romney's caucus supporters who are solid and have him as their "#1" will carry the day...but what is the estimate that supporters of other candidates could be brought over at caucus to support Mitt? I heard someone suggest this morning that the Republican caucuses are run different than those for the Dems? Also, what do you think the overall turnout will be for Republicans in these caucuses?




posted by Anne | 10:37 AM | permalink
Dem politico Susan Estrich says Huckabee is a Democrat's Dream. Video:I'm in Iowa, am about to go knock on doors for GOTV. Here's my morning pix.
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I wonder what makes Estrich think President Huckabee will invite her to the celebration.




posted by Kyle Hampton | 10:11 AM | permalink
Well, it's finally here: Caucus day. Jason's out there, working hard and following the campaign. Unfortunately, I'm here in California (gearing up for my last semester of law school), trying to get a sense of everything going on out there in Iowa. So, I'm asking for your help.

We want to give everyone a feel of what is going on all around Iowa. To do this we need you to write in. Let us know what's going on, either why you voted for Mitt or any other circumstances going on where you caucused. I will post your thoughts and experiences throughout the day.

Email us at info@mymanmitt.com. Tell us what you've seen or heard or why you voted for Mitt. Thanks for your help and GO ROMNEY!
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posted by jason | 3:20 AM | permalink
Every campaign has these, and it's a testament to the US political process.

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posted by jason | 3:05 AM | permalink
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posted by jason | 2:52 AM | permalink
Unfortunately the interview was cutoff about half way through.


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posted by jason | 2:37 AM | permalink
Romney in Bettendorf answering a few questions after his speech.


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posted by jason | 12:40 AM | permalink
Driving back to the hotel from the Romney Ralley I took a wrong turn to the freeway. As I was driving up the street I thought would lead to the freeway I saw a huge motor home. Turns out it was Fred's ride. It was sitting outside a news studio, so I went up and asked the driver where Fred was and he said inside. So I found some guy outside the building who was a reporter stated talking to him and he let me in the building.

So I stood there for a moment and wouldn't you know it, out walks Fred with his entourage.

So I asked for an interview and was sent to his press secretary. He said it had been a long night so I could do an email interview. I asked him for a card, and he didn't have one.

So I followed them back to the bus and took some video in the 10 degree weather. When we got to the bus door I asked the press secretary, "What are your feelings about tomorrow?"

His answer?

"Cold"

Then he got back on the bus.

Draw your own ironic conclusions.
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Ha!! Jason - you're such a card....!!



Haha! Classic!




Wednesday, January 2, 2008
posted by Anne | 10:24 PM | permalink
MSM media fact checkers starting to look into Huckabee's claims: This excerpt from FactCheck.org:
Huckabee Cut Crime and Taxes?
The truth is that violent crime was higher at the end of his term than when he took office, and he raised taxes more than he cut them.
Summary
In the run-up to the Jan. 3 Iowa caucuses, Huckabee is running a TV ad featuring graphics that claim he was "tough on crime" and "brought Arkansas' crime rate down," and that he "cut taxes over 90 times as governor."

In fact, the violent crime rate was higher at the end of his tenure than it was the year he took office. And the tax cuts he claims credit for were minor compared with the large increases he approved, which included an increase in the state sales tax.
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As much as I would like to digest this tasty morsel of Huckabee smack, I am afraid that I find factcheck.org is less than honest about their neutrality or lack of bias. Take a look at who funds this organization and who is on staff and do a little fact checking on them to understand what I mean.

the fact check hack job on Romney on this site was filled with mostly platitudes and unimportant nitpicking such as the whole hunting hyperbole. Sure it is a factcheck, but where is the beef? If they are going to nitpick and select which nits they wish to pick that implies bias.

Huckabee doesn't need their help to implode. His Howard Dean moment happened yesterday, and that is all she wrote. After tomorrow, Huckabee will be replaced by McCain as the goto guy for the media to adore. After New Hampshire, there will only be Romney and Giuliani standing, with Thompson in the shadows ready to spring out when the media in a last gasp desperate attempt to push Romney off the cliff. They will suddenly discover what is great about Mr Law and Order, but it will be too little too late. Huckabee supporters will jump off his bandwagon in sufficient numbers and many of them will jump on the Thompson train while others will convert to their bretheren's Evangelicals for Mitt. McCain supporters will taper off as they divide up into three groups of Thompson (anyone but Romney), Giuliani (fiscal moderates who want Bin Laden skewered) and Romney.

With Huck and McCain basically dead men walking, Romney will surge in Michigan due to his legacy, and Thompson and Giuliani will battle it out for second. There are over 250K LDS members in Nevada, and you can be sure that not all or of the Harry Reid bent, and with Huck and McCain gasping their last breaths, They will flow into either the Ron Paul camp or the Mitt Romney camp.

Romney will win Nevada going away. South Carolina by this time will be Romney's. If Thompson has dropped out by than, watch all of his supporters except the (anyone but Romney crowd) to come flying in on Romney's coattails because they sniff a winner. That will put Florida into Mitt's hands. If Thompson is stubborn thinking that he actually has a chance, than Florida will become a battle Royale that Romney will most likely win. That should be enough for Thompson, and Feb 5th will be Giuliani trying to play catch up the rest of the way.




posted by Kyle Hampton | 8:55 PM | permalink
The Volokh Conspiracy asked several professors to draft the reason why they support their particular candidate. Brad Smith got the nod for Romney. Here's a little bit of what he said:
Governor Romney's tax policy should make a libertarian's mouth water. It begins with the no-brainers -- make the Bush tax cuts permanent, eliminate the estate tax, and nix any increase in social security taxes. In addition, Romney has proposed substantial reductions in the corporate tax rate, where the United States rate is now one of the highest among the Western democracies, and in individual income tax rates, across the board. He has proposed eliminating all taxes on dividends and interest for those earning less than $200,000. One of Governor Romney's most important yet overlooked proposals is to make all spending on health care premiums and medical expenses tax deductible, an initiative that will do much to rationalize health care markets by putting individual coverage on the same plane as employer-provided health plans.

Of course, it is one thing to have an agenda, and another to deliver. Both Romney and Rudy have shown an impressive ability to make headway on tax and spending issues in the face of overwhelmingly liberal legislatures and political cultures deeply attached to high levels of regulation and taxation. Despite a generally admirable voting record, Senator Thompson lacks the executive experience of Governor Romney and Mayor Giuliani, and it is difficult to name any issue, during his eight years in the Senate, on which he took the lead in promoting smaller government. The one bill which he played a critical role in passing was the odious McCain-Feingold legislation.

Governor Romney is a man who knows how to get things done, from his success in business, to turning around the Salt Lake Olympic Games, to running a remarkable campaign for President that most observers thought was totally improbable just two years ago. Halting and reversing the growth of government requires more than just the right views -- it requires the right abilities. Governor Romney has those abilities.
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posted by Anne | 8:51 PM | permalink
Walked two precincts today. Over the course of the day the temperature doubled--from 7 to 14 degrees. I stopped in for a salad at a McDonalds with a tropical theme--balmy.

Speaker Hastert came by mid-day to rally us working Iowa City and surrounds for Romney. It was his birthday so we sang for him. I shook his hand and told him I was in from Illinois, New Trier township so he got a kick out of that. He was off to meet Mitt at the airport, which my friend Jason covered here.

As a group we made serious progress on our precincts--just a few left to finish in the morning. Lots of volunteers streamed in to make phone calls as well and we should have good precinct coverage for the caucuses.

For previous Iowa posts go here and here.

--crossposted at BackyardConservative
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posted by Kyle Hampton | 8:30 PM | permalink
From the face of the modern market:

The worst outcome in tomorrow’s Iowa caucuses for the stock market and economy would be victories by Mike Huckabee and John Edwards.

Both are anti-business, anti-Wall Street, and anti-CEO. They would employ government regulation, and perhaps taxes, to work against free-market forces.Both are anti-trade.

Both are tax-and-spend. (Governor Huckabee has tried to inoculate himself against the tax charge with his Fair Tax national sales tax idea that would go nowhere in Washington.)

The key point is that Edwards and Huckabee are the left-wing populists in the campaign on economic policy. Their victories would send up a red-flag warning signal to a stock market already beleaguered by worries about an economic slowdown and the ongoing subprime credit problem.

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posted by jason | 5:31 PM | permalink

The Cedar Rapids Event was held at the Airport hanger here in town. There was (eyeball guesstimate) about 200 supporters there, and about 100 members of the press. Romney was introduced by Dennis Hastert, who surprised all the members of the press. Hastert gave a strong introduction to Mitt, and will be in Iowa through the caucuses. Hastert will actually be speaking at the Bettendorf Caucus on behalf of Mitt. Another interesting tidbit to come out of this, that actually has really impressed some of the press, is the fact that the Romney campaign has drivers standing by the evening of the caucuses to give people rides to the event who can't get there on their own. From what I understand, the ground game has a number of great things like that being planned. Turns out Clinton is hiring baby sitters and is making sure elderly people have sedans to ride in to the caucuses since they are easier to get into.

Speaking of the press corps, the first couple flights I sat next to a producer from one of the big three networks. From talking to this person it seems that one of things that the press finds so interesting about the campaign is that they are so well organized. This producer said he mere fact they get schedules for the events 24 hours in advance and that everything runs so smoothly is really a testament. This producer added, "If they can run a campaign this well...they could run the country."

Talking to some of the Romney supporters it's clear they are very optimistic for tomorrow and really are excited for tomorrow. One field coordinator I interviewed, which I will post when I have enough time on the internet to upload, made the observation that she has ran into people out on the streets going door to door for Mitt who she had no idea who they were. They just went out on their own accord.

The event itself was pretty good. Romney's son Craig came on stage on spoke kindly about his father, and his grandfather, and Mitt really hit on the family theme here.

When I get the videos up from today, they will include an interview with Dennis Hastert I landed.
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I just hope those people going door to door for Mitt on their own were really for Mitt and weren't giving out the wrong addresses for the caucuses, there's some shadiness going on I've heard...




posted by Anonymous | 2:45 PM | permalink


This ad was even funnier the second time around. They "Both Love Chuck Norris." Notice the animation on the Chuck Norris picture reaching over to "Pow" Huckabee.
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posted by Kyle Hampton | 2:40 PM | permalink
...unless Huckabee kills it. Taking the statements of Huckabee campaign manager, Ed Rollins, to task, James Bopp, Jr. and Mark DeMoss make the case that the Reagan coalition us not dead. First, James Bopp, Jr.:
If the Reagan coalition is to be torn asunder, major credit for its dismantling would have to go to Ed Rollins, who, after engineering President Reagan’s spectacular reelection campaign in 1984, has spent most of his time supporting candidates who were at odds with one part or another of the Reagan coalition...

While adamantly pro-life and opposed to gay marriage, Huckabee has struck a populist cord on economics. He is hostile to free trade, promoted across-the-board tax hikes, and more than doubled Arkansas’s state budget, from $6.6 billion to $16.1 billion. His proposal to extend state-funded college scholarships to illegal aliens was defeated in the Arkansas legislature. Huckabee is the only GOP candidate to refuse to endorse President Bush’s veto of the Democrat’s bill to vastly expand the S-CHIP health-care program and he supports the discredited cap-and-trade system to limit global-warming. And the liberal National Education Association of New Hampshire has found something they like in Mike Huckabee and gave him their endorsement.

Next, DeMoss:
Well, I can assure you he's wrong on one point and predict he's wrong on another. This Reagan coalition means a lot to me and to most people I know. Perhaps, Mr. Rollins is suggesting it doesn't mean a lot to him, given that his political clients since the days of Ronald Reagan have included the independent Ross Perot and liberal Republicans like Michael Huffington in Reagan's beloved California and Christine Todd Whitman in New Jersey. Having spent my life around movement conservatives, I can tell you, we still care about uniting these various conservatives into a strong coalition.

Then, I'll predict he's wrong in his epitaph: "it's gone." In fact, I think it will coalesce in the coming five weeks as Republicans select a president and then turn their considerable energies toward defeating their Democratic opponent next fall. But regardless of whether he's right or wrong, I'm disappointed to see Mr. Rollins throw in the towel on such a compelling coalition. It may just be that his current client cannot unite the three legs that make up this conservative stool – but I believe there is a candidate who can.

A year and a half ago, I concluded Governor Mitt Romney was the most qualified person to run for president from either party in my lifetime and decided to support and help him as a volunteer.

As an evangelical Southern Baptist and a social conservative, I like the leadership Governor Romney provided our movement in defending traditional marriage between a man and a woman and in opposing embryonic stem cell research. I believe his values are consistent with mine in every way, whether or not his theology is.

As a fiscal conservative I like the fact that Governor Romney understands that the money we send to our state and federal governments is our money, and "not their money," as he told Governor Huckabee in one of the candidate debates. Fiscal and anti-tax conservatives will like his record on not raising taxes and fighting, even against great opposition, to reduce the size of government. He decided on his first day as governor to leave office with a smaller, more efficient state government than when he arrived and managed to do just that.

And as a national defense conservative I like the fact that Governor Romney as supported the President's plan to help Iraq and to give General Petraeus and other military leaders a chance to work their plans and strategies in a complex situation. I like that he understands the threats that radical Islamic jihadists pose to our security, the importance of securing our borders, and the need to equip our men and women in service with the tools they need to succeed on our behalf.

In all three areas, I like the fact that Mitt Romney has a history of surrounding himself with bright, talented, capable, experienced men and woman who can help him make wise decisions. That is what a leader does and he has done it time and time again.
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posted by jason | 2:17 PM | permalink
Just finished up in Bettendorf Iowa. Romney gave short speech for supporters and also answered some questions from the press.

Of Note:

When asked about differences between McCain foreign policy and his:

"The Senate talks, I lead"

When asked how he was feeling about tomorrow, what exatly was going on in his mind:

"I am actually looking forward to it like a kid at christmas going to open presents and wants to see what's inside. Hopefully it's not a lump of coal."

He was very quick to bring up Sen. McCain in his speech and his stances on the Tax cuts, etc. When asked why he was so quick, was he now looking to MCCAin as the next competition instead of Huckabee his answer:

"I figured you would ask about Huckabee I just wanted to make sure I got them al in there." The press and supporters had a good laugh.

Al in all, he was on his game, and had penty of good jokes and quips. I am hoping to have the video up later today. The time onstraints and internet connection is limiting.

TIme to get back on the plane!
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posted by jason | 1:55 PM | permalink

I am on the plane here with Romney and the “real” press, waiting to take off. Right now they are de-icing the wings (thank you) which should be followed by a funny smell (now I have an excuse) and then we will be off. On the docket for today are the Quad Cities, Cedar Rapids, Mason City and a rally in Des Moines.

It’s an odd thought being here on the plane. I would bet last election none of the front runner’s press pool had a 31 year-old part time blogger who types with 4 fingers and raised the money for the plane ticket. This is a definite sign of how the political landscape, and news journalism, has changed in just the last few years. Frankly, it’s for the better.
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It IS for the better and you're a sweetheart for doing it.




posted by AmericanTestament.com | 1:36 PM | permalink
The Associated Press is reporting "Bogus S. C. Card Cites Mormon Passages". Apparently the South Carolina GOP, or some of its members acting on their own, are dead-set against Romney and are kicking up the rhetoric a notch to try to grab public attention. Warren Thompkins, a political consultant who once ran GWB's 2000 campaign in South Carolina and is now Romney's top consultant in the state, says, "Anything this outrageous and childish and nonsensical would have a significant fallout on whoever did it and on whose behalf it was done."

This certainly was a sophomoric and insipid move on the part of whoever did this and won't reflect well on Huckabee, at least on a national stage, given his propensity to tout his theological credentials to whip up support among fundamentalist supporters. Whether S.C. voters will be bamboozled by this mass-mailed piece of fiction is another matter, but one would hope they would at least be curious enough to investigate these (not so) subtle charges against Romney because of his LDS faith to find out if they have any true merit.

Hint to any South Carolinians reading here...they don't have any true merit. Here are some resources for you to look at on this issue.

Official LDS statements on the issue of Political Neutrality (you can't get any more official than this page, folks)

Of Chapels and Temples: Explaining Mormon Worship Services (sheds more light on why a the Boston LDS temple, or any other temple, would not be in a position nor have a desire to donate money to any campaign)

Live the Law of Tithing (an explanation of how the Church collects and uses tithing and why anyone would want to donate 1/10 of their income to the Church...another hint--it's not used for corny political mailings)

Political candidates who belong to the LDS Church must be racist and ethnocentric, right? Why else would they donate time and money so that the Church can assist with humanitarian causes worldwide, touching 163 countries and donating $201 million cash and $705 million in material assistance since 1985 alone? And, why else would they belong to a church that has more members outside of the U.S.A than within it?



The New New Bigotry, by Hugh Hewitt (by engaging in this sort of mudslinging, the ultra-right, fundamentalist set risks playing into the hands of the far left and having their own religious "peculiarities" thrown back in their faces come election time. Key quote: “Christians tempted to join in the laughter [at Mormon doctrine] should remember Balaam’s ass, Noah’s ark, and the water turned to wine.”)

There are many more examples, but I trust most people will know how to use Google wisely. As I always say, Mormonism (and now, I guess, political candidates who happen to be Mormons) is the only religion that people feel free to criticize without going to its meetings, reading its books, or talking to its people.
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posted by jason | 1:29 PM | permalink
I finally arrived in Des Moines and headed over to the Romney Headquarters to meet up with some blogging friends from the Elect Romney Blog (Great coverage on their activities in Iowa as well.) Before heading out for dinner I took a tour of the headquarters. Things had sowed down at this, earlier there had been 200 volunteers there from all over the nation making calls and hundreds more souring the neighborhoods and precincts, but there were still plenty there hanging around, chatting and eating pizza.



I also heard from one person I had dinner with that while phone banking, he ran in to a few people who had been undecided until they saw Huckabee's stunt the other day and decided to jump on with Romney. In fairness this was a Romney backer and I didn't ask him if he met anyone who decided to go with Huck because of Romney's ads on Huckabee. So it's anecdotal, but none the less, people in Iowa are paying attention and a single event can sway their vote. Every little detail counts at this point.


If you want to donate to help defray the high expense of being embedded with the Romney campaign:

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Jason, based on where you had me in this video, it was 8:45ish when you came thru. Saw you with the camera, but didn't realize it was you. Bet you're having a great time as an embed!

Jeff - NYforMitt.blogspot.com



This is where Romney's organization and dedicated supporters will make it a win in Iowa.



Jason, thanks very much for this and all your Iowa posts. They've helped me get fired up to work for Romney here in Georgia. Great job!



Mitt Romney..how about you give your delegates to Huckabe because we are democrates and would switch to Huckabe because we definitely ...in no way..would vote for John McCain...God forbid if John McCain becomes our president.




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