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Saturday, June 2, 2007
posted by jason | 7:01 PM | permalink
First State Politics has a rundown of Romney's night in DE.
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One thing Mitt shows by coming to our fair state this early is that he fully intends to compete EVERYWHERE.

By Anonymous Anonymous, at June 3, 2007 at 8:39 AM  



posted by jason | 3:45 PM | permalink
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posted by jason | 3:33 PM | permalink
Political columnist Charlie Cook and Stuart Rothenberg pick Hillary and Mitt as the two likely nominees.

Of Clinton Cooke says:

Cook described Clinton’s campaign as one of “Prussian efficiency,” more like Richard Nixon’s campaign in 1972 and certainly “more organized than any Democratic campaign that I’ve ever seen.”

But Clinton also has a liability – 46-48 percent of Americans “won’t vote for her no matter what. If she were a stock, she’d have a very narrow trading range. There’s no room for error. She’s cautious and she doesn’t make mistakes.”


Pretty fair diagnostic of Clinton. My diagnostic would trade the word "efficiency" for "vomit." But there is no need to go there right?

But this is beginning to fit a pattern, IMO. Romney is seen by many as the eventual nominee- think GOP insiders poll from a month ago. If it were to turn into a Romney/Clinton match up I am pretty convinced Romney would take it in a landslide. For certain Clinton would bring out the daggers, but the Anti-Clinton machine is already operating in full gear. Besides all we need to do is ask Clinton where all of her husbands bodyguards?
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I am concerned about Hillary (or any other woman) being a leader of the greatest nation in the world in this day and age. I have nothing against women myself (I am one), but if the people of this nation are concerned about the terrorists, we must remember they haven't come out of the dark ages yet to give respect to the female race that they are due. Why put one in their face to try to work with them. It will be a joke to them and I believe it could backfire.

By Anonymous Anonymous, at June 3, 2007 at 10:03 PM  



posted by Jeff Fuller | 7:17 AM | permalink
InsiderAdvantage national poll: 1,000-Republican voters surveyed for their presidential preferences.

Poll conducted May 30 and 31.

Rudy Giuliani - 28%

Fred Thompson -19%

Mitt Romney 17%

John McCain -16%

Mike Huckabee- 4%

Sam Brownback -3%

Duncan Hunter- 2%

Ron Paul - 2%

Jim Gilmore - 1%

Undecided/Don’t Know -8%

I'm not finding the previous results (if any) from this firm. Still, 17% in a national poll (and ahead of McCain again) is about as good as it's been for Romney.
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Friday, June 1, 2007
posted by Justin Hart | 6:37 PM | permalink

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He had me until he compared Robert Reuben to Alexander Hamilton. Other than that, it was neat.

By Anonymous Anonymous, at June 1, 2007 at 9:06 PM  



posted by Anonymous | 4:07 PM | permalink
Now that the entrance of Fred Thompson into the Presidential race seems inevitable, I want to state a few of the reasons why Romney is clearly the candidate to lead America, and to some extent, why we should all absolutely vote for him over Thompson (I have attempted to do this as respectfully as possible while recognizing I am still an advocate. Besides, Thompson would make a good VP for Romney to run with, although a lot of people would probably consider him too Dick Cheney-esque):

Leadership: In addition to his tremendous success in the private sector, Romney has demonstrated great capability as the leader of the Salt Lake City Olympics and as the Governor of the state of Massachusettes. He has the desire to get things done and it is equalled by his abilities. He is a natural leader. Thompson has represented his state as a Senator, but running a Senate office is not equal to running a state. Thompson decided he didn't want to be in politics shortly after 9/11 and instead pursued his acting career. He plays leadership roles normally, but he is typecast in that role, after all. Where Thompson is reluctant, Romney wants the opoprtunity to fix problems and help America face a new generation of challenges.

The Family: Romney is a family man in spirit, in practice, in public and private. His relationship with his wife is the kind that people should aspire to have. Those who have doubts about the strength of marriage in the world should gain hope from watching Mitt with Ann. Having lived through the Clinton years, I am proud to say I care about a man's personal relationship with his wife. I think it is the clearest demonstration of what type of person they are. In addition to Mitt's personal life, he has been a leader among leaders in defending the family from attack by those who want any commited relationship to be elevated to the level of traditional marriage. He has forcefully and artfully advocated for the fundamental rights of children, both unborn and born, to not be used as research material and to have the benefit of both a mother and father in their life. He has placed his personal values on the line as it were, and stood up over and over again for family values. Much has been made recently about the fact that Thompson divorced his first wife, was a bachelor for many years, and then married a much younger woman. I don't want to belabor the points made that Thompson is not the spokesperson for stemming the erosion of values in the country and world. My point is that Romney clearly is the candidate for those of us who want to have a standard bearer on the issues related to family and life.

Healthcare: Romney succesfully implemented a market based health care reform in Massachusettes that saved the state from socialized medicine while helping to insure the uninsured. Thompson doesn't seem to have any relevant experience in this area other than his lobbying efforts. The democrats are quickly making health care a centerpiece of their campaigns. We need Romney to articulate a better way than Hillarycare or Obamacare. Romney is the person to do that. His experience and understanding of the issues involved will help us save our medical system from those who think the federal government will run it better.

Foreign Relations: Romney has quickly shown his ability to master issues of international relations as well as thinking about solving them in creative ways. He has articulated with great ability the threat that Iran and Jihadists pose to the entire world. He has recently outlined his vision of foreign policy that would help America be a world leader through strength. Thompson did humorously bash on Michael Moore recently. I should add that Thompson has been invovled with some non-governmental organizations that focus on foreign policy.

Electibility: As a prosecutor, I often think about what the main points of attack will be from my opponent. Romney's main weakness seems to be from prejudice and ad hominem argumentation. On the issues, Romney will beat whoever he opposes on the democratic side. He is more qualified, more articulate and has a better vision and common sense about problem solving than all of them. You will see flip-flop style attack adds. You will see people arguing he is just another hawkish religious nutcase like Bush 43. But this will not compare to the bashing Thompson is going to take. Why? Two things I would exploit if I were a democratic strategist. First, Thompson's vote to impeach President Clinton in the Senate. In short, I would paint Thompson as just another Newt Gingrich Repubican who attacked the President we all so loved despite having his own serious character flaws. Second, Thompson's endorsement of attacking Iraq without provocation. In fact, there will be good video of this incident that will be used. Now, this second attack depends on how unpopular the war in Iraq is at the time of the election, but I think we can fairly expect it to continue to be on people's minds. Of course, the dynamic is much different whether Clinton, Obama, Edwards or some other person is the candidate.

The Economy: Romney has had a tremendously successful career in business. He has effectively ran and helped to fix many national and international businesses and his ability as an executive has been proven in this field. The economy is going to be very important in the next election and Romney is the person to articulate conservative principles and to help make sure we are competitive in the global market. Thompson has no business experience, unless you consider lobbying on behalf of businesses to be experience. Simply put, there is no comparison between Romney and Thompson on economic issues.

There is much more that could be said but it is clear who the best candidate is. People may vote for Thompson for a variety of reasons: such as sentimentality about a southern straight talker, a preference for a Church of Christ member, personal fans of Law and Order. People may vote against Mitt Romney for a variety of irrational reasons. Resume to resume though, Mitt Romney is the strongest candidate to lead America at this time when we are confronted with Jihadists intent on destroying us, we are facing stiff competition from India and Asia, the democrats are pushing a nationalized health care system, and the family is under attack. Romney brings fresh and innovative ideas to solve a new generation of challenges and I am proud to continue to say he is My Man Mitt.
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3 Comments:


You make some great points. Can I steel them, and put them on this page?

http://myclob.pbwiki.com/Fred%20Thompson

Also, even though you made some great points, new information will keep coming in. I want to present this information in an organized manner, and keep updating it in one place...

Lables let your string multiple blogs together, for those who use them, but would you PLEASE consider updating this website, as you get new info, and think of new points?

http://myclob.pbwiki.com/Fred%20Thompson

Just as me for the password.

I use gmail.

my user . name is mike.laub

If you send me an e-mail I'll give you the password...



I meant "just ask me for the password"

not "just as me for the password"



You can reproduce all you want.

By Anonymous Anonymous, at June 1, 2007 at 7:02 PM  



posted by jason | 8:46 AM | permalink
Winthrop University and ETV Poll.

Numbers look good for Romney:

Undecided

29.9

Giuliani

18.6

McCain

14.4

Romney

11.7

F. Thompson

6.4

Gingrich

3.4

Brownback

1.5

Hunter

1.1

Huckabee

0.8

T. Thompson

0.8

Hagel

0.4

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If ye love wealth greater than liberty, the tranquility of servitude greater than the animating contest for freedom, go home from us in peace. We seek not your counsel, nor your arms. Crouch down and lick the hand that feeds you. May your chains set lightly upon you; and may posterity forget that ye were our countrymen. – Samuel Adams

WHO IS RON PAUL?



That's two polls in a row that show Romney in double digits in South Carolina.

This ARG one had him at 10%. http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres08/screp8-704.shtml

Interesting stuff going on . . . but, once again, the trends are positive for Our Man Mitt!




Thursday, May 31, 2007
posted by jason | 1:26 PM | permalink
He's coming along!

First this 2 weeks ago:

O'REILLY: What about Romney? What do you think of him? He's pretty slick.

MILLER: Yeah. You know what? I like Mitt Romney, but I do kind of like what McCain said, that he doesn't, you know at least McCain — I'm not voting for John because I think he's a little old. But McCain sticks by his guns. Romney has sort of slid it around a little. When you look that good and you slide it around a little, there's a snake oil salesman vibe about him that might be a little weird for me.

O'REILLY: All right.

MILLER: I'm a Rudy guy.



And now this:

O'REILLY: ...Now, Mitt Romney according to a Rasmussen poll is up to 16 percent. Your guy, Rudy, is at 25. It looks like Romney's getting some traction. What do you think about that?

MILLER: Well, I'm wondering at the TIME photo you're showing. I don't remember, but that must be them sort of aping the notes on an old TIME cover with his dad, George.

Listen, I am a Rudy guy. I've often said that. I'm going to introduce the mayor at an L.A. fundraiser later tonight. I think that Rudy, as far as terrorism goes, is just entering his peak killing years. And that's why I'm for him.

But I must say that Romney is a pretty smooth customer. I think he's done great in the debates so far. And I think his plan, and it's a pretty smart one, is to lever the whole heist with Iowa and New Hampshire. Old school stuff. Spend some money there. Do some local ads. Put your bass widgeons on the ground. Shake some hands.

Then later in the summer you go out to Ames for that straw poll. Bus people in, or hay cart them in, or whatever they have to do. Show some muscle and then beat these guys in the second quarter earnings.

O'REILLY: But you've got a very — how important in this world is Romney's appearance? Which, I mean, you can't get more presidential looking than Mitt Romney.

I mean, look, if you were to make up a guy, this would be the guy, you know, that looks presidential. He's got the jaw going on, the little gray thing in there. And I think that means a lot in America.

MILLER: Well, I do, too. But when you back it up with the fact that he's competent, too. He ran a pretty tight Olympics. And you know, this is the guy who invented Staples. And I think he understands a step-by-step business plan. And I think the Staples thing is going to come out as adversaries best keep their head up, because it will be death by a thousand cuts with Romney. It will be a very...

O'REILLY: Staples, the Staples department store? Is that what you're saying?

MILLER: Staples office stores.

O'REILLY: Yes, the office stores.

MILLER: Romney was there at the beginning of that.

O'REILLY: OK.


Video Here. Hat tip reader Glen.
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posted by jason | 1:04 PM | permalink
A NEW GENERATION OF GLOBAL CHALLENGES: THE ROMNEY VISION VS. THE OBAMA VISION

Globe"We are a unique nation, and there is no substitute for our leadership. … Our future and that of generations to come depend on our resolve to move beyond the divisiveness in Washington today and unite America and our allies to confront a new generation of global challenges." – Gov. Mitt Romney (Gov. Mitt Romney, "Rising To A New Generation Of Global Challenges," Foreign Affairs, July/August 2007)

In The July/August Issue Of Foreign Affairs, Gov. Romney And Sen. Obama Lay Out Their Visions For How America Should Solve A New Generation Of Global Challenges:

Click Here To Read Gov. Mitt Romney's Vision.

Click Here To Read Sen. Barack Obama's Vision.

The Romney Vision: Confront Radical Islam Globally, Truly Transform Our Foreign Policy

Gov. Romney Stresses The Importance Of Winning In Iraq And Defeating Radical Islam Globally. "The congressional debate in Washington has largely, and myopically, focused on whether troops should be redeployed from Iraq to Afghanistan, as if these were isolated issues. Yet the jihad is much broader than any one nation, or even several nations. … The jihadist threat is the defining challenge of our generation and is symptomatic of a range of new global realities." (Gov. Mitt Romney, "Rising To A New Generation Of Global Challenges," Foreign Affairs, July/August 2007)

Gov. Romney Will Truly Transform Washington's Foreign Policy Practices And Capabilities. "We need to fundamentally change the cultures of our civilian agencies and create dynamic, flexible, and task-based approaches that focus on results rather than bureaucracy. … For every region, one civilian leader should have authority over and responsibility for all the relevant agencies and departments, similar to the single military commander who heads U.S. Central Command." (Gov. Mitt Romney, "Rising To A New Generation Of Global Challenges," Foreign Affairs, July/August 2007)

Gov. Romney Will Increase The Military By 100,000 Troops And Commits Specific Funding To Do So. "[W]e need to increase our investment in national defense. This means adding at least 100,000 troops and making a long-overdue investment in equipment, armament, weapons systems, and strategic defense. … [W]e are going to need at least an additional $30–$40 billion annually over the next several years to modernize our military, fill gaps in troop levels, ease the strain on our National Guard and Reserves, and support our wounded soldiers. … The next president should commit to spending a minimum of four percent of GDP on national defense." (Gov. Mitt Romney, "Rising To A New Generation Of Global Challenges," Foreign Affairs, July/August 2007)

Gov. Romney Believes We Must Become Truly Energy Independent For Our National Security. "We need to initiate a bold, far-reaching research initiative – an energy revolution – that will be our generation's equivalent of the Manhattan Project or the mission to the moon. It will be a mission to create new, economical sources of clean energy and clean ways to use the sources we have now. … It will be good for our national defense, it will be good for our foreign policy, and it will be good for our economy." (Gov. Mitt Romney, "Rising To A New Generation Of Global Challenges," Foreign Affairs, July/August 2007)

Gov. Romney Believes We Must Revitalize and Strengthen Our Alliances. "The inaction, if not the breakdown, of many Cold War institutions has made many Americans skeptical of multilateralism . . . But such failures should not obscure the fact that the United States' strength is amplified when it is combined with the strength of other nations. … [W]here institutions are fundamentally incapable of meeting a new generation of challenges, the United States does not have to go it alone. Instead, we must examine where existing alliances can be strengthened and reinvigorated and where new alliances need to be forged." (Gov. Mitt Romney, "Rising To A New Generation Of Global Challenges," Foreign Affairs, July/August 2007)

Gov. Romney Believes In A Bright Future For The World And Opportunities For American Leadership. "We are a unique nation, and there is no substitute for our leadership. The difficulties we face in Iraq should neither cause us to lose faith in the United States' strength and role in the world nor blind us to the new challenges we face. Our future and that of generations to come depend on our resolve to move beyond the divisiveness in Washington today and unite America and our allies to confront a new generation of global challenges." (Gov. Mitt Romney, "Rising To A New Generation Of Global Challenges," Foreign Affairs, July/August 2007)

The Obama Vision: Disengage From Iraq And The War On Terror, Re-Engage Via Diplomacy

Sen. Obama Calls For A Retreat From Iraq By March 31, 2008, Ignoring Terrorists' Own Statements That Iraq Is The Central Front In The War On Terror. "Iraq was a diversion from the fight against the terrorists who struck us on 9/11, and incompetent prosecution of the war by America's civilian leaders compounded the strategic blunder of choosing to wage it in the first place. … The best chance we have to leave Iraq a better place is to … begin a phased withdrawal of U.S. forces, with the goal of removing all combat brigades from Iraq by March 31, 2008…" (Sen. Barack Obama, "Renewing American Leadership," Foreign Affairs, July/August 2007)

Sen. Obama Advocates Economic Engagement, Security Assurances And Diplomatic Relations With Iran. "Our policy of issuing threats and relying on intermediaries to curb Iran's nuclear program, sponsorship of terrorism, and regional aggression is failing. … [W]e must show Iran – and especially the Iranian people – what could be gained from fundamental change: economic engagement, security assurances, and diplomatic relations." (Sen. Barack Obama, "Renewing American Leadership," Foreign Affairs, July/August 2007)

Sen. Obama Blames America For Carbon Emissions, And Calls For Enacting A Cap-And-Trade System. "As the world's largest producer of greenhouse gases, America has the responsibility to lead. While many of our industrial partners are working hard to reduce their emissions, we are increasing ours at a steady clip – by more than ten percent per decade. As president, I intend to enact a cap-and-trade system that will dramatically reduce our carbon emissions." (Sen. Barack Obama, "Renewing American Leadership," Foreign Affairs, July/August 2007)

Sen. Obama Paints A Dreary Picture Of The Pursuit Of Liberty Across The Globe. "People around the world have heard a great deal of late about freedom on the march. Tragically, many have come to associate this with war, torture, and forcibly imposed regime change." (Sen. Barack Obama, "Renewing American Leadership," Foreign Affairs, July/August 2007)

Sen. Obama Sees A World Of Floods, Famine, And Fighting. "Without dramatic changes, rising sea levels will flood coastal regions around the world, including much of the eastern seaboard. Warmer temperatures and declining rainfall will reduce crop yields, increasing conflict, famine, disease, and poverty. By 2050, famine could displace more than 250 million people worldwide. That means increased instability in some of the most volatile parts of the world." (Sen. Barack Obama, "Renewing American Leadership," Foreign Affairs, July/August 2007)
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posted by Kyle Hampton | 10:55 AM | permalink
Time’s Joe Klein writes today about how “disappointing” Romney’s campaign is:

But there isn't the slightest hint of courage or conviction in his stump act. It's a candidacy for the era before 2001, before things got serious. And his success or failure will be a reflection of how serious the electorate is in 2008.
Apparently Klein admits the unseriousness (if that’s a word) of a particular presidential era prior to 2001. Now, however, we need a “serious” candidate – someone dark, brooding, and most of all angry. This isn’t the time for someone with optimism and a sense of humor. We need someone who will agitate and irritate, yell and scream, and generally follow the Al Sharpton/Howard Dean school of politics. No, Klein, I think the American people have rejected that type of candidate again and again – even in the Democratic party.

But what about Romney’s courage and conviction? It’s certainly a hard thing to quantify and is a qualitative assessment. So, I would ask, what do the people who are seeing him think? About the only indicators I know of are polls and endorsements. As people have become acquainted with Romney his poll numbers have increased. Romney also is not lacking for endorsements (although always willing to accept more). So what is it that Klein sees that so many others do not? He faults Romney for being too light on substance and heavy on style, making a jab at Romney audiences: “And because he doesn't dwell on [policy], his audiences don't.” But it’s hard to see how that is so when Romney has been so forthcoming on policy proposals (the most recent found here on MMM). Such criticism is not founded on fact, but on fantasy.

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Here's an example of media speaking a language that seems completely foreign to the average reader. Romney has been the candidate HEAVIEST and most complete on substantive issues, bar none. AM I wrong? That is definitely my opinion, and that of those interested in the process that I associate with. This writer is another spaceboy.

By Anonymous Anonymous, at May 31, 2007 at 11:55 AM  


What a disappointing article.

By Anonymous Anonymous, at May 31, 2007 at 12:22 PM  


Great News for Mitt Romney!! He has all the right people hating him (scared of?).

By Anonymous Anonymous, at May 31, 2007 at 12:38 PM  



posted by jason | 10:50 AM | permalink
Apparantly Amnesty Sam, the man who won't talk about the surge or immigration, has time to bring up evolution. In a NYTimes Op-ed he goes into a lengthy discussion about evolution, which I didn't even bother to read.

Doesn't this guy have anything better to do? Do we need to make this about evolution. Are we bing attacked by militant paleolithic caveman? Are our borders being infiltrated by millions of illegal amoebas?

Now lets contrast this with Romney essay at www.foreignaffairs.org.

C'mon Sam, you want to be taken seriously? Discuss the issues of the day, not the Scopes Monkey Trial.
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2 Comments:


Didn't sammy miss the vote on the Amnesty bill? He must hate Republicans worse than Rudi.

By Anonymous Anonymous, at May 31, 2007 at 12:36 PM  


I'm wondering how Brownback thought that THIS was the issue he needed to speak about and how his staff somehow went along with it. Why doesn't he just talk about Paris Hilton?




posted by Jeff Fuller | 8:28 AM | permalink
Haven't had time to digest this yet, but on intial glance this looks to be pretty "meaty." We would expect nothing less from the candidate who is laying out more ideas/proposals/policy plans on the table than anyone else in the field.

Rising to a New Generation of Global Challenges
Summary: Washington is as divided on foreign policy as it has been at any point in the last 50 years. As the "greatest generation" did before us, we must move beyond political camps to unite around bold actions in order to build a strong America and a safer world. We must strengthen our military and economy, achieve energy independence, reenergize civilian and interagency capabilities, and revitalize our alliances.
Jeff Fuller
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Tuesday, May 29, 2007
posted by Jeff Fuller | 10:59 PM | permalink
Hat tip to Race 4 2008 for the results.

New results from the McCain Team's favorite polling company show that McCain is still ahead in all three early states. These results go against 3 recent Iowa polls and and 2 recent NH polls showing Romney with a lead or tied for the lead. So, are the results from this polling company "real" or are they just "outliers?"

Format below Current results (last month, Dec 2006 result). Click on links for more complete trend lines.
American Research Group GOP Iowa Caucus
  • McCain - 25% (26, 26)
  • Giuliani - 23% (19, 28)
  • Romney - 16% (14,6)
  • Gingrich - 8% (8,8)
  • F. Thompson - 6% (13,ni)
  • Brownback - 3% (1,1)
  • All others - 2% or less
  • Undecided - 10% (13,14)

American Research Group GOP New Hampshire Primary

  • McCain - 30% (29,35)
  • Romney - 23% (24,9)
  • Giuliani - 21% (17,28)
  • Gingrich - 4% (4,15)
  • F. Thompson - 3% (7,ni)
  • All others - 1% or less
  • Undecided - 16% (14,16)

American Research Group GOP SC Primary

  • McCain - 32% (36, 35)
  • Giuliani - 23% (23, 28)
  • F. Thompson - 13% (10, ni)
  • Romney - 10% (6, 5)
  • Gingrich - 6% (6,15)
  • All others - 1% or less
  • Undecided - 11% (12,16)

Now some commentary (from actual comments I made athe Race 4 2008 site.)

IOWA POLL:

I want ARG to explain to me what an “Independant likely Caucus-goer” is? Independants CAN’T PARTICIPATE IN THE IOWA GOP CAUCUS. McCain got nearly half of these independants and they are responsible for a full 2% or slightly more.

This is maybe an obvious sign that this firm isn’t doing the most rigorous polling around.

Also, Tommy Thompson at only 2%? All the other polls have him between 4-7% and he’s been working Iowa HARD and it’s been showing in the polls. He’s from neighboring Wisconsin and might just get a top 4 finish at the Ames Straw Poll (depending who participates). Don’ think they screened very well when polling.

Not too sure about the absolute numbers in this poll, but, as always, we may make something of the trend lines.

McCain’s trend is steady since Dec . . . but down since March.

Giuliani’s trend is down since Dec, and way down from Feb . . . but he did have a little “statistical correction” after a 10% loss from March to April

Romney’s had a steady trend up 6% in Dec to 16% now–that’s pretty strong.

Fred Thompson is down big, but this will probably undergo a bit of a statistical correction upwards next month (just like Rudy had).

RON PAUL CONTINTUES TO GET 0% . . . but his folks sure can make a lot of noise online!!

Who are the 6-9 Iowans in this poll who want Gilmore? They should be tracked down and punished.

New Hampshire Poll:

30% Independant’s included (and they should be here in the open primary . . . though many think that many Indy’s will be drawn over into a tight Democratic primary vote that day instead . . . or at least cast their anti-Hillary consciece vote). McCain still leads strongly with Indy’s, but Romney does slightly better than Rudy)

All top three amazingly close among Republicans (25%, 24%, and 24%).

Trends:
McCain: Very stable since Dec. with a recent recovery from 23% to 30%.
Giuliani: Slight downward trend overall, but a recent mild correction/recovery upwards.
Romney: Prety strong and steady upward trend overall
F. Thompson: 3% . . . uh-oh! That’s a LOT of work to do. Don’t see this southerner selling well in NH. Downward trend shows that the initial idea of a of a Fred Thompson candidacy sounds better than the impending reality (same downward trend as in Iowa).

South Carolina Poll:

Trends:
McCain: fairly steady with a slight recent tick downwards
Giuliani: Mild downward trend.
Romney: Moderate upward trend (or just an aberration?) into Double Digits.

Thopmson: Will obviously show strong in the South, but will he hang in if he’s not top three in Iowa and New Hampshire? (which is looking pretty hard for him to accomplish with this late of an entry). The only way he could would be to try to compete against Giuliani for some big states on Super Teusday, but that will be a difficult task. I’m not seeing any strong strategy/plan for them.

Huckabee: ONLY 1% for a southern governor who did well in the SC debate? Not good news at all for the Huckster.

National Poll:

Also, I think this is probably premature, but at least one NATIONAL poll has Romney past McCain and into 2nd place. The immigration issue may be playing strong here. This probably won't be confirmed by other polls anytime soon, but, again the trends are very positive for Romney.

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3 Comments:


Should wait to see how the Democrats in Iowa will vote on the GOP side?
What is the point of polling people who CANNOT vote in a caucus?
Hang on, I will go see how my dogs plan on voting....

By Anonymous Anonymous, at May 30, 2007 at 6:18 AM  


What will happen in the next polling rounds with Thompson's campaign now entering the testing phases? Who will his hype take away from? Will it affect Mitt? It will make it interesting, to be sure...I hope Mitt can pull through. I have a feeling Thompson will take more from McCain and Guiliani than he will from Mitt.



Prediction: Thompson will take from Giuliani the most.

By Anonymous Anonymous, at May 30, 2007 at 8:52 PM  



posted by jason | 12:35 PM | permalink

From Powerline:

The latest Rasmussen poll shows Mitt Romney's support among Republicans at 16 percent. That's double his share from a few months ago. It also surpasses John McCain's share of 15 percent, and puts him within shouting distance of Rudy Giuliani (25 percent).

Romney's surge isn't all that surprising. He's an able and attractive candidate, and (in part for this reason) a very well-funded one.

Romney has also benefited from some good luck. First, the latest round of activity on the immigration front appears to have hurt McCain. I suspect that McCain was always likely to take a hit over this issue and others where he stands outside the mainstream of his party. But it was important to Romney that the hit occur this spring when he, not Fred Thompson, might be the main beneficiary.

This leads to the second and key piece of Romney luck -- Fred Thompson's non-entry to date. If Thompson had entered in March when Romney was on the ropes, it might have represented a knock-out blow. Instead, Romney has had a three-month window in which to make his case as the conservative candidate in the field. Although it's far from clear that Romney has obtained that status, there can be no doubt that he's made substantial headway.


For us Mittheads who have been following Mitt over the years, this surge is not so unexpected. 6 months ago Mitt was unknown. Now people are getting to know him and wa-la: Mitt rises.

Nearly everyone I know who is politically active is telling me how impressed they are with Mitt. The other day a fellow precinct committeeman was jogging by my house and yelled out "Mitt Looks Good!" as he jogged up. Last summer when I told him about my blog he chuckled and said "Well everyone's got their thing..." No problem. I am glad to see Romney taking off.

This is by no means something to get comfortable with. Romney could level off or perhaps even go back down a notch or too, but it shows us Mittheads, the road is promising.
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posted by jason | 11:38 AM | permalink
Governor Romney said today he would decline his salary were he elected:
speaking with reporters, Romney said he would likely follow the example he set while governor, when he declined his $135,000 annual salary. The president of the United States is paid $400,000 annually.

"I haven't really thought ahead that far," Romney said at first. "There are some questions I haven't forecasted, perhaps because that would seem presumptuous of me."

Then, he added: "I presume I would take the salary and then I would donate at least that amount - or more - to charity."

It should be noted Romney declined a salary as Governor and as CEO of the 2002 Winter games.

Romney also said this:
I wouldn't disqualify somebody by virtue of their financial wealth or their financial poverty," Romney said after ticking off his public service work. "I would instead look at their record, what they've done with their life and whether they can make a difference, whether the things they have learned will enable them to be an effective leader."

It will be interesting if other candidates who could do the same (Giuliani, Clinton, Edwards, F. Thompson) will.
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1 Comments:


The first letter to the editor in the new (June 4) edition of Time points out that electing Romney basically equates to a taxpayer-based subsidy for the LDS Church because he will pay tithing. Refusal of the salary quickly dismisses that argument.
By the way, I bet Orrin Hatch and Bob Bennett (and even Harry Reid) pay their tithing...

By Anonymous Anonymous, at May 29, 2007 at 4:57 PM  



posted by jason | 9:36 AM | permalink
From CBS News (And I am glad they pointed out this guy is a liberal)

AP) Mitt Romney's visit to New Hampshire started on a sour note Tuesday when a restaurant patron declared he would not vote for the Republican presidential contender because of his faith.

"I'm one person who will not vote for a Mormon," Al Michaud of Dover shouted at Romney when the former Massachusetts governor approached him inside Harvey's Bakery. Romney was kicking off the second of two day's worth of campaign visits in the lead primary state.

Romney kept smiling as he asked, "Can I shake your hand anyway?"

Michaud replied, "No."

Michaud later told reporters he was not "a right-winger," alluding to some evangelical Christians who have compared Romney's faith to a cult. Instead, Michaud stated he was "a liberal."

He said he planned to vote for Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., should she win the Democratic presidential nomination.

If elected, Romney would be the first Mormon to serve in the White House.
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4 Comments:


What was the point? Hillary can't be that scared of Romney yet, can she? HMM...



But, but, but...liberal LOVE Mitt Romney. How can this be? How will MSM and McCain keep up the "Mitt is too liberal" argument if this sort of thing keeps happening?

By Anonymous Anonymous, at May 29, 2007 at 10:21 AM  


Wow! We know from that exchange who has class and who doesn't.

By Anonymous Anonymous, at May 29, 2007 at 3:42 PM  


This continues to prove te point that most of the people who have a problem with Romney's religion come from the Left.

By Anonymous Anonymous, at May 30, 2007 at 1:08 AM  



posted by jason | 9:28 AM | permalink
Giuliani 25

Romney 16

McCain 15

Thompson 12

From the article:
This week, Giuliani is followed by Romney at 16%, McCain at 15%, and former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson at 12%. While Romney’s one-point edge over McCain is statistically insignificant, it’s worth noting that McCain had a six-point advantage over Romney just two weeks ago.
Link
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Monday, May 28, 2007
posted by jason | 8:26 AM | permalink

"On this Memorial Day, we recommit ourselves to honoring the memory of all those brave men and women who have made the ultimate sacrifice for their country so that others may live in liberty. Their bravery is a legacy that no American should ever forget. While we honor those who have fallen for their country, our thoughts and prayers are with the men and women currently serving across the globe. They are Americans doing extraordinary things so that our country can be free. We are forever grateful to them."
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posted by Jeff Fuller | 1:25 AM | permalink
McCain's deeply flawed immigration bill has been a recent "flash point" for criticism. McCain has obviously taken the attacks on this horrible legislation a little too personally and has wrongly punched back on the personal level (similar to his personal attack on Romney's conviction during the 2nd debate that he switches positions "during even numbered years".)

From a Newsweek article:


Referring to Romney's stance, McCain said: "Maybe I should wait a couple of weeks and see if it changes because it's changed in less than a year from his position before."


Then followed his "varmint" comment which was an obviously planned line fed to him from someone in the campaign.

So, what's so desperate about attacking a cheif rival? The attacks, on the surface, speak of an general unease in the McCain camp about their own failings and Romney's continued successes. But it's not just the attacks, but the substance of the attacks and the actual accusations being leveled. McCain's campaign aides are sensing the fear of a Rising Romney and have resorted to DNC-like charges at Mitt's apparent lack of core convictions.

From Newsweek recently regarding the varmint comment:

To which John Weaver, a top McCain aide replied: “It was a joke and, by the way, Mitt Romney should be mocked! There isn’t a single issue in politics he hasn’t flip-flopped on."


From a Mother Jones article another top McCain aid said:

"Mitt Romney has been consistent in one regard: that nearly every position he holds now is opposite of what it was when he was governor of Massachusetts."


That same article also had the following zinger:

He [Romney] previously held all of the same positions as Giuliani -- he's just trying to lie about them while Giuliani is standing for what he believes in.


This is a segue into the deeper theme they are trying to lay. A smattering of recent quotes is enlightening:

Deseret News:
Foremost is the charge that he's a campaign convert to conservatism after running as a more moderate or liberal candidate in Massachusetts.


Even some conservative commentators like Deroy Murdock (a big-time Rudy supporter), get in on the game from time to time.

Romney is either a true, rock-ribbed conservative who played a Rockefeller Republican to get elected in Massachusetts, or he is a genuine, limousine liberal portraying a conservative to win the 2008 GOP nomination. This fine thespian has lost himself so thoroughly in both these roles that no one really knows where the performer ends and the characters begin.


Bill Maher recently said "If Mitt Romney were a movie, it would be "Say Anything." (I'm sure he wouldn't apply that same critical humor to his buddy Bill Clinton, eh?)

The overall image being portrayed of Romney (and don't ever think these lines of attack aren't driven by the media moguls of the MSM) is that he's a man with no convictions, who will say or do anything if it is politically expedient. However, their only other "dig" against Romney is not just his religious affiliation, but that he's unabashedly a devout and practicing member of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints--somehow implying that he's TOO dedicated and true to his core convictions, namely his faith and his family. It would be in their best interest to decide on one line of attack. If they keep pounding both of these drums even the average American voter will realize they are being sold a false bill of goods. We won't be buying it guys!

I've blogged before (here and here) that Romney was never close to being the liberal that some are claiming. He was actually far more of a conservative than even a moderate. Below I'll put in the image again of one of his 1994 campaign flyers below and let you judge. Aside from the well documented, AND WELCOMED, shift on abortion he's been rock solid as a conservative then and now (BTW Romney vetoed the "employer mandate" portion of the MA healthcare plan)



I'd like to see McCain, his aides, and the DNC explain their position that Mitt has "flipped on every political issue" when he's been consistant on 23 of the 24 (or 96%) issues in this flyer. They're busy enough spinning their own problems, so I probably shouldn't "pile on" right now!
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2 Comments:


Thanks for the flyer. Its great!

By Anonymous Anonymous, at May 28, 2007 at 10:06 AM  


It's unfortunate that candidates such as McCain are stooping to ad hominem rather than articulating their own positive agenda. It truly does bely a weakness of substance in their own camps. McCain so often comes off looking like a petulant child when he lashes out over reasoned criticism of his legislation. He would be an absolute train wreck as president if this is how he reacts to the heat.

Oops! Did I just engage in ad hominem?

By Anonymous Anonymous, at May 28, 2007 at 4:56 PM  



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