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Saturday, January 12, 2008
posted by Anne | 10:16 PM | permalink
Romney over McCain. Very close, lots depends on undecideds and whether independents (or Dems) vote in the Republican primary. Detroit Free Press:

Republican primary voters whose greatest concern is the economy could give Bloomfield Hills native Mitt Romney his first major state victory in Tuesday’s Michigan presidential primary, according to the Detroit Free Press-Local 4 Michigan Poll.

Romney leads John McCain, 27%-22%, with Mike Huckabee in third at 16%, the poll showed. Romney’s core of support is in metro Detroit, where he has a 2-1 advantage.

More breakdown by issue in the story. Updated RCP average here. It's very tight.

UPDATE: RCP with more new polls. In the Michigan Mitchell poll, Romney cuts into McCain's support. yeah!

UPDATE: More good news, another poll with an EIGHT POINT Romney lead (despite the badmouthing) :

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who badly needs to win Tuesday's Michgian primary, has an eight-point lead over Sen. John McCain of Arizona in a McClatchy-MSNBC poll of Michigan voters to be released Sunday.
I'm cautiously optimistic. (And anyway, we haven't hit a really Red State yet.) More detail:
McClatchy Newspapers reported: “Romney led McCain by 2 to 1 among voters who ranked the economy and jobs their top concern. He led Huckabee by a slightly greater margin among those voters. He also led McCain by 2 to 1 among likely voters who called themselves Republicans.”

The analysis continued: “McCain owes his solid standing to independents and Democrats, taking 38 percent of their support, while Huckabee had 22 percent and Romney had 18 percent. … Evangelical Christians represented 46 percent of the likely primary vote in the poll, and Huckabee got 31 percent of their support while Romney got 23 percent.”
The Detroit News has McCain edging Mitt by one point, with 45% undecided.

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