posted by jason | 7:40 PM |
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After a day of shoveling snow, sleeping on the couch and replying to emails, (It was a snow day in Chicago) I have come to a conclusion. Earlier in the morning I mapped out the possibilities for Mitt. We also had a bit of chatter amongst Romney-bloggers on our secret undercover email list. Plenty of food for thought. I agree, Mitt's chances of winning are small (unless the NYTimes will do it's job!), but the GOP and Mitt have more to gain from Romney staying in, then we have to lose. ( <--I spelled it right!!!)
1. The party only can win by a continually vetting of the front runner, John McCain. One of the reasons for McCain's huge rise in December was the fact he laid dormant for nearly 6 months without a serious eye being given to his candidacy. Surely McCain has some major problems. While team McCain would prefer to avoid this, we gain nothing going into a general election with a candidate who has only had 1 month of serious vetting. Nothing.
2. By forcing McCain to work for his wins in proportionally allocated states, McCain is forced to appeal to the conservative wing of the party. The feeling of inevitability will not be his campaign theme, but perhaps humility and contrition to the base that he actually needs in the general. We don't want to have to vote for him because he sucks less, but rather, because he has decided to represent us. With Romney threatening a clean nomination from McCain, we have a McCain that has no choice but to extend his conservative streak past CPAC.
3. For Romney's sake, I think it's a mistake to drop out before Huckabee. Huckabee really wants to claim he was the second choice so that he can pick up his campaign in 2012. Romney cannot allow this. There is little left electoral-wise for Huckabee to win in the upcoming primaries and caucuses. Romney needs to stay in to make sure Huck doesn't have the opportunity to become the conservative voice to McCain and operate in a vacuum uncontested.
So, there is my reasoning. Romney needs to stay in till McCain has it wrapped up. Its good for McCain, the GOP and sure enough, for Mitt himself.
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