posted by Kyle Hampton | 9:42 PM |
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I found (h/t
Marginal Revolution) this scholarly look at the
effect of the early primary voting on later primary voting. It's sponsored by the National Bureau of Economic Research. The bottom line:
The voting weights implied by the estimated model demonstrate that early voters have up to 20 times the influence of late voters in the selection of candidates, demonstrating a significant departure from the ideal of "one person, one vote."
Sounds like the Giuliani campaign going down in flames to me.
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