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Wednesday, August 15, 2007
posted by Kyle Hampton | 5:48 PM | permalink
Rich Lowry gives the heads up on a new South Carolina poll showing Romney making a move there.
Public Policy Polling Republican South Carolina Primary
Thompson - 22%
Giuliani - 18%
Romney - 17%
McCain - 11%
Huckabee - 7%
Brownback - 3%
Paul - 2%

Survey was done August 13 of 749 likely primary voters, and has an MoE of 3.6%.

I can’t vouch for the methods and accuracy of the poll, but it seems South Carlolinians didn’t realize they weren’t supposed to pay any attention to Iowa Straw Poll headlines. Also, Romney was ticking up a bit nationally prior to the straw poll.

For those not following the South Carolina polls (and I can't blame you for that), Romney's numbers have generally followed his national numbers, hovering around 10% on average. RCP had his average at 7.3% in South Carolina. This new poll shows a marked improvement and possibly a sign of good things to come. This also follows a national trend showing that has Romney ticking upward. The last three polls (Rasmussen, Quinipiac, and ARG) show Romney surging consistently if not spectacularly.

Justin has been the best at explaining all the horserace stuff and nuts and bolts of politicing, but it seems like Romney's old school strategy is working. South Carolina, Florida, and other states that other Republican candidates have been banking on look like Iowa and New Hampshire of a couple of months ago. Now, with the early winning, consistently spectacular debate performances, and grassroots organization, Romney is poised to take the lead in those states. Also, for all the grief that pundits gave Romney for his investment in Ames (even with a solid win), it too seems to be paying off, as Lowry seems to have noted.

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10 Comments:


I knew that it was only a matter of time before my comments were thrown into the circular file. Fear not the truth will come out on Gov. Romney. Mitt needs to fess up on the abortion issue too. He needs to say "Yes I used to be pro-abortion. I know my stand on abortion probably caused thousands of Mormon girls to abort their babies. I was wrong."
Now do you think Mitt is going to make this admission? Nope, me either. His previous stand on abortion is going to hang around his neck like a 3 day old dead fish. Mitt has a record and we are going to make sure the American electorate knows all about it. Go ahead and delete this post too.



Hey Mitt hits the fan,

Logic and factual evidence are the best way to make people believe in your cause. Not making ridiculous statements like Mitt caused 1000s of Mormon girls to abort their babies.

Odd that Mitt would do that, considering he probably has never been an ecclesiastical leader for a 1000 pregnant young Mormon girls.

Why don't you post some new evidence that apparently the 18% of likely primary voters in 'conservative' South Carolina that would vote for Mitt in the primary have not seen.

Same old stupid arguments, same old non-factual data behind ridiculous claims.



Hey MHTF,

Why would Jason delete your comments? You sound like a complete nut job and the way you present your positions makes Mitt look even better to rational people.

Keep up the good work.



Sorry, troll visiting hours ended at 7:00.



Fess up on the abortion issue? Have you been following politics? Romney has been very open about how he used to be pro-choice. Heck, he even said so in this last debate.



Mitt Fan guy,

You are more than welcome to post here if you can stay of the knocking others religion. It doesn't matter if it's more LDS, Hindu, Catholic, Baptist, Lutheran, Shinto, Sikh, Muslim, Buddhism, Scientology, etc.

We just don't want it here.

Anything else is fine, because it seems you basically prove our point for us.



---
Pro-choice and chosing to follow the laws of a state are totally different things. There are lots of pfo-life leaders and legislators who follow the rule of law in their state.
----All current Republican Presidential candidates who are in a posititon to lead or legislate FOLLOW the law of the land including legal abortions.
------
There are some, like Ron Paul, who vote AGAINST bills that would make it illegal to transport a minor across state lines for an abortion.
-----
Mitt Romney has NEVER vetoed a pro-life or absistence education bill.
NEVER.
----
So Mitt Romney has a BETTER pro-life LEADER than Dr. Ron Paul.
----
Mitt Romney came under fire for being "cruel" when advising a young girl that abortion was not an option she should consider.
This story is on the Internet in different places, check it out for yourself.
-



McFan,

You're unreal, buddy. Bordering on complete lunatic. Provide some data. Make compelling arguments. All you do now is provide wonderful target practice for even the inexperienced. What an unfortunate lightweight!
-
Mitt's record is clear. He's the only one who's been forthright about the positions he's changed.
-
He admits to being wrong. Do you watch the debates? You can write, but can you see or read? You've missed a lot, it appears.
-
You're mention of LDS girls is ludicrous, though consistent with your style and approach.



Yes I used to be pro-abortion. I know my stand on abortion probably caused thousands of Mormon girls to abort their babies."

Not a chance. The Governor always thought abortion was wrong and always opposed it, though unfortunately he took the easy way out in Massachussetts of saying that he wouldn't impose his beliefs on others.



And he drove all the youth to alcoholism because he didn't bring in prohibition. :S




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