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Tuesday, January 22, 2008
posted by Jeff Fuller | 8:18 AM | permalink
FredHeads will play a vital role in this race and WILL end up choosing the nominee, though, to their obvious chagrin, it will not be for their first choice candidate.

I've been watching and analyzing this race for two years now, reading and commenting nearly daily at forumns such as RedState, FreeRepublic, and Race42008. I've seen the slow dance of Fred's entrance, his surge in popularity and polls, and his steady decline. I've debated with FredHeads about both Fred and Mitt, their strengths and weaknesses. Interestingly, there has been a significant "warming" to Mitt among FredHeads and vice-a-versa over the last several weeks. Most Mitt supporters I know have Fred #2 on their list (me included . . . though it's a close call with Rudy because I like his executive experience).

Whether or not Fred officially drops out, it's clear that he does not have a realistic shot at becoming the nominee. His supporters will probably join other camps shortly.

Two online polls taken in the wake of last Saturday's results asked folks who they'd vote for in a "Fred-less" field.

Over at RedState (jokingly referred to as "FredState") this poll was asked . . . and here are the results as of now:

Now that South Carolina is done, who will you vote for in your state?
SelectionVotes
John McCain 14%307
Mike Huckabee 6%135
Rudy Giuliani 11%233
Mitt Romney 68%1,458
2,133 votes total

Over at HotAir.com (another very pro-Fred blog), the question was even more direct:

For Fred Supporters: If Fred Thompson drops out of the race, which major candidate would you support?
SelectionVotes
Rudy Giuliani 15%706
Mike Huckabee 4%213
John McCain 7%341
Mitt Romney 74%3,535
4,795 votes total

There is much speculation that Fred will endorse McCain, so HotAir's readership was asked if such an ensdorsement would affect their vote:

If Fred Thompson endorses John McCain, what impact would that have on your vote?
SelectionVotes
No impact 88%2,862
Somewhat more likely to vote for McCain 6%205
Much more likely to vote for McCain 5%172
3,239 votes total

Looks like FredHeads are the independent-minded voters that we'd expect of those supporting such a plain-spoken candidate.

For further evidence of FredHeads breaking for Mitt check out the comment section at HotAir (sorry, I didn't read all 1400 of them).

Some are even calling for a Romney/Fred ticket! I wouldn't have a problem with that personally. As Mitt supporters, we welcome any and all FredHeads into the fold.

Jeff Fuller
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3 Comments:


I fear that Huckabee supporters will go to McCain. However, if the economy keeps struggling, Mitt may be the only answer.



The rationale of the Huckabee's supporters who are flocking to McCain's camp is truly incomprensible and bizarre. They would even choose a RINO over a Mormon who is not even running for Paster-in-Chief but a Commander-in-Chief. Mitt has tried so hard to keep religion out of his candidacy. However, he is much more qualified than either Huckabee and McCain. Enjoy reading this link...
http://www.evangelicalsformitt.org/front_page/david_brody_gets_it_right.php



As an ex-"Fred-Head", I would gladly support Romney if he will have a "come-to-Jesus" meetng with James J. Baker and Wayne LaPierre to certify his questionable support for the Second Ammendment.
And, I could care less if he is a Mormon. The Mormons I have known personally have all been very good Americans. leVieux




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