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Wednesday, May 14, 2008
posted by Kyle Hampton | 7:02 PM | permalink
Holman W. Jenkins, Jr. says in the Wall Street Journal that John McCain needs to be a little more like Mitt Romney. Why? McCain hasn’t looked at the data:

Mr. Romney was tagged as a wonk because he "immerses himself in data." But one thing immersion can do that casual "gut" proceedings can't is let you know when the data don't provide an answer, even if people are telling you it does.
I argued long ago that McCain’s gut decision-making was a net negative, even if it had put him on the right side of the surge debate.

McCain’s absolutist position on the surge, while admirable in his support of our troops, is almost the dictionary definition of ideologue. It’s not the facts that convinced McCain that the surge is working, but the idea itself. In McCain’s mind it would be working whether or not the facts showed it, because the idea is right in his mind. This is the same kind of stubbornness that has kept him supporting “comprehensive immigration” when the facts don’t support him. Similarly campaign finance reform has been an abject failure, but McCain still supports it because the idea is right, in spite of the facts. Likewise McCain has come to the correct conclusion on the surge, not lead by the facts, but lead only by the idea. McCain is right more out of luck than any sort of analytical process that lead him to the right conclusion. Such a blind adherence to ideas is unsupportable.
Apparently there is an area that I failed to mention. Jenkins says that Romney’s approach is crucial in the global warming debate:

It perhaps takes somebody steeped like Mr. Romney in real-world analytics to find a footing against the media tide. But the fact remains: The push toward warming that CO2 provides in theory is no reason to presume in confidence that CO2 is actually responsible for any observed warming in a system as complex and chaotic as our atmosphere.

In his climate speech on Monday, Mr. McCain exhibited (as the press usually does) a complete lack of consciousness of the fact that evidence of warming is not evidence of what causes warming. Yet policy must be a matter of costs and benefits, adjusted for the uncertainties involved. Which brings us to today's irony: He who finds a six-figure earmark an affront to humanity is prepared to wave through a trillion-dollar climate bill without, as far as anyone can tell, a single systematic thought about costs and benefits.

Mr. McCain argues that green energy mandates will leave us better off whether or not man-made global warming is real. This is an error that Mr. Romney wouldn't make – and one Al Gore makes all the time.

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3 Comments:


McCain has become such a panderer whatever belief system he did have is gone. I'm not so sure his blind loyality to his own views are actually what he believes or that he thinks they make a big hit with the media. The media is really hating reporting on all the Dem positions he's assumed.This thing today about him looking back on his first term is one of the worst gaffes I've ever seen and aimed at his precious center. Man I hope there's a coup at the convention.



I'm a big Mitt supporter, but I don't believe in a federal amendment to ban gay marriage. I just don't think that gay marriage in any way threatens marriage, as the traditional argument goes. The one thing I'm not sure about is whether it's a good thing for children to be raised by parents of the same gender. That one I'm not sure on, but banning gay marriage to me seems just plain mean. After all, many of these people are gay in the same way that most of us are heterosexual. They didn't choose it. They just are. And who are me and you to tell them they can't be who they are?

By Anonymous Anonymous, at May 17, 2008 at 1:33 PM  


I believe the crux of the issue for Mitt and for myself at least, has to do with the family. Already gay couples can share in many benefits that married couples do...and maybe they should. Mitt isn't telling them they can't be gay or to change, he's just saying as far as families and children are concerned, marriage should be between a man and a woman.

By Anonymous Anonymous, at May 23, 2008 at 4:27 PM  



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