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Wednesday, January 23, 2008
posted by Justin Hart | 11:05 AM | permalink

John McCain 22%
Mitt Romney 18%
Rudy Giuliani 11%
Mike Huckabee 11%
Fred Thompson 9%
Ron Paul 7%
Undecided 21%

Taken from a poll of 377 likely voters in California.

The poll shows Rudy dropping from 25% since December. McCain was at 12% and Romney was at 15% in the last poll.

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5 Comments:


When do we get new Florida numbers? I know it'll take a few days for the "Thompson effect" to factor in, but it will be interesting to watch.



Using Thompson's second choice numbers, it ends up being something like:

McCain 23
Romney 20

Romney get the most Thompson supporters (30%).



Read the poll even more and you see that they asked for a second choice from the Thompson supporters and Romney closed even further with Romney getting 30% of Thompsons supporters, the most of any candidate. McCain 23% Romney 21%



According to SignOnSanDiego.com the Field poll numbers with Fred out of the race turns into:

McCain 23%
Romney 21%
Giuliani 13%
Huckabee 12%
Thompson -
Paul 7%



There's another field poll out that had similar numbers.

Field Research GOP California Primary

John McCain 23% (12%)
Mitt Romney 21% (15%)
Rudy Giuliani 13% (25%)
Mike Huckabee 12% (17%)
Ron Paul 7% (3%)
Undecided 23% (18%)
Survey of 377 likely voters was conducted January 14-20, 2008. The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 10-17, 2007 are in parentheses.




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