Matt Towery at Human Events makes an astute observation:

As for the Republicans, the predominant notion that Rudy Giuliani is the frontrunner is a farce. Yes, he leads in just about every poll in every state among Republican voters. But I've been around national GOP politics for too many decades not to know one essential thing: To win, a candidate must have superior grassroots organization. Giuliani doesn't.

The leader in this race is the one who barely scratches in polls right now, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney.

To borrow Barbara Bush's line from 2004, "I've seen this movie before, and I don't like the way it ends." Well, I don't know about the ending, but I can tell you that Romney has signed up virtually every Bush Republican in every key state. In Florida, he has the Jeb Bush organization and most of the prominent, longtime Republican establishment behind him.

John McCain likely will have Florida's governor, Charlie Crist, in his corner.

What does Giuliani have? The driest, least prepossessing political figure in that state, former Congressman and now state Attorney General Bill McCollum. An odder couple than Giuliani and McCollum would be hard to find.

Yes, McCain has name ID around the country. And, were they to run, unannounced candidates Fred Thompson and Newt Gingrich could capture Republican voters desperate to reestablish the party's pre-George W. Bush philosophical ground.

Be all that as it may, you can take this to the bank: Mitt Romney will end up being the man they all have to beat. He will spend his mountain of money on a thing called television, and that will allow him to hide his ultra-sophisticated personality from those wary of having an urbane president.

Once he's known, he'll have the might of the GOP's old guard behind him.

The candidates may not know the best road to win the presidential race, but too many in media don't even seem to know what planet the race is being held on.

First, I hope Republius can see this as a partial answer to his question on Gramm and Romney. I am not so presumptuous to claim Romney as the front runner, but I will say he is the guy in first place...that's a joke. Actually I think he is probably on even par now with McCain. Except Romney is headed north and McCain is headed south.

Rudy is still in the lead, albeit not as comfortably as he was in March. If I was a supporter I would be leary to send Rudy a check now when you consider his knack for saying liberal things, no ground structure, and no substantive ideas presented as of yet. But hey, people have done crazier things. Remember the Yugo?

I remember in February reading on Redstate and other blogs I frequent that McCain had a juggernaut in South Carolina that was tough to beat- I don't think anyone would actually claim that today. McCain does have a good ground game, one that will carry him through to the primaries, even if he ended up polling at 3%.

Yesterday I showed the folks here the clear muscle Romney has built in Michigan, but now we have this today. I do agree with Towery's assertion that Romney's campaign force is going to be the team to beat. The biggest miscalculation is to somehow think this guy can't forecast his future earnings and have a longterm game plan. Clearly when you think of Romney's organization (already paying off in IA, SC, MI, and NH,) fundraising, policy proposals and his past track record there is no denying that Romney is the guy to beat.