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Friday, November 2, 2007
posted by Jeff Fuller | 1:53 AM | permalink
Where they've gotten to know Romney . . . they like Romney.

Want some proof?

The Real Clear Politics AVERAGES of recent polls for all the early states show Romney in the lead!!!



South Carolina . . . up by 0.3%
Michigan . . . up by 5.2%
New Hampshire . . . up by 8.0%
IOWA . . . up by 13.5%. I, of course, take personal credit for this since Iowans for Romney is such a powerful and influential blogsite :)

Jeff Fuller
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2 Comments:


While I appreciate the enthusiasm, some of these numbers are seriously flawed. For example, the recent SC ARG poll shows Romney beating Fred Thompson by 19 points... This I find laughable, and you guys probably do, too. I find much more reasonable the idea that the three (Romney, Giuliani, and Thompson) are tightly bunched at the top. Likewise, the lead in Michigan is swayed by an outlier poll (done by ARG, of course) showing Romney at 39% while he doesn't get more than 20% in a poll more recent than the end of August.

I like the numbers, but as Mark Twain (or Samuel Clemens) said, "There are lies, there are damn lies, and there are statistics!" Be fair.



The great thing, Peter, is that this is an average done by RCP. Are there nit-picky things that could be said about any individual poll, low or high? Yes, but that's why they average them.




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