In addition to this, Reid Wilson makes the obvious point:
The problem, as Thompson and Giuliani hope they don't find out, is that "traditional" campaigning -- winning Iowa or New Hampshire after months of building an organization and spending lots of money there -- is tradition for a reason: It works. The past five Republican nominees and six of the past eight Democratic nominees have all won either Iowa or New Hampshire, or both. Only George McGovern and Bill Clinton didn't win either, though Clinton had native Iowan Tom Harkin and New Hampshire neighbor Paul Tsongas in the race. When a candidate strays from the traditional route, they're seemingly begging for trouble.
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I guess that Rudy's plan is that he thinks the early states don't matter. he thinks that because Florida has been moved to January, with 20 states having their primaries on February 5th, will counterbalance any boost Mitt receives in the early states. Rudy's assumption will prove to be fatally flawed. Mitt is winning 5 of the 7 states voting in January. Mitt's winning: WY NV MI IA NH and is rising in SC and FL. He may have all the early states wrapped up, or at least 5 or 6 of them. Rudy will lose.
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